Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 21°C in Chongqing on March 22, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF, which consistently project cloudy skies and light showers capping daytime temperatures at that level amid typical early-spring conditions. Historical March data for the city shows average highs around 18-22°C, with current upper-air patterns featuring a stable trough suppressing warming. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearance of low clouds or a brief southerly wind shift, potentially nudging peaks to 22-23°C as seen in occasional model outliers, though low-pressure dominance makes hotter outcomes improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 22?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 22?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$51,119 Vol.
$51,119 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$51,119 Vol.
$51,119 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 21°C in Chongqing on March 22, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF, which consistently project cloudy skies and light showers capping daytime temperatures at that level amid typical early-spring conditions. Historical March data for the city shows average highs around 18-22°C, with current upper-air patterns featuring a stable trough suppressing warming. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearance of low clouds or a brief southerly wind shift, potentially nudging peaks to 22-23°C as seen in occasional model outliers, though low-pressure dominance makes hotter outcomes improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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