Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18-19°C as the highest temperature in Chongqing on March 25, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on daytime highs of 18-20°C amid a mild spring air mass. Historical March data from the China Meteorological Administration shows average highs near 18°C, but recent model runs highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary, potentially capping peaks at 17-18°C under overcast skies or pushing toward 20-21°C with clearer conditions. Upper-level ridging supports these mild outcomes, with minimal risk of extremes given seasonal norms and no strong heat advection.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 25?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 25?
18°C 22%
19°C 22%
17°C 20%
20°C 19%
15°C or below
3%
16°C
17%
17°C
20%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C
16%
23°C
14%
24°C
13%
25°C or higher
2%
18°C 22%
19°C 22%
17°C 20%
20°C 19%
15°C or below
3%
16°C
17%
17°C
20%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
19%
21°C
19%
22°C
16%
23°C
14%
24°C
13%
25°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 6:22 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18-19°C as the highest temperature in Chongqing on March 25, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on daytime highs of 18-20°C amid a mild spring air mass. Historical March data from the China Meteorological Administration shows average highs near 18°C, but recent model runs highlight uncertainty from variable cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary, potentially capping peaks at 17-18°C under overcast skies or pushing toward 20-21°C with clearer conditions. Upper-level ridging supports these mild outcomes, with minimal risk of extremes given seasonal norms and no strong heat advection.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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