Latest multi-model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles point to Chongqing's March 24 high temperature clustering tightly around 18-20°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds in that range, with implied probabilities hovering at 21-22.5%. This reflects springtime mild southerly flow over the Yangtze basin, boosted by urban heat island effects in the megacity, against historical March averages of 17°C. Differentiating factors include model divergence on afternoon cloud cover from upstream humidity—GFS anticipates clearer skies for 20°C+, while ECMWF factors in scattered stratus for 18°C—amid stable recent observations of diurnal ranges near 10°C. Upcoming hourly updates from CMA could tip sentiment as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 24?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 24?
18°C 23%
19°C 22%
20°C or higher 21%
15°C 19%
10°C or below
9%
11°C
10%
12°C
14%
13°C
17%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
19%
18°C
23%
19°C
22%
20°C or higher
21%
18°C 23%
19°C 22%
20°C or higher 21%
15°C 19%
10°C or below
9%
11°C
10%
12°C
14%
13°C
17%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
19%
18°C
23%
19°C
22%
20°C or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest multi-model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles point to Chongqing's March 24 high temperature clustering tightly around 18-20°C, fueling the neck-and-neck trader odds in that range, with implied probabilities hovering at 21-22.5%. This reflects springtime mild southerly flow over the Yangtze basin, boosted by urban heat island effects in the megacity, against historical March averages of 17°C. Differentiating factors include model divergence on afternoon cloud cover from upstream humidity—GFS anticipates clearer skies for 20°C+, while ECMWF factors in scattered stratus for 18°C—amid stable recent observations of diurnal ranges near 10°C. Upcoming hourly updates from CMA could tip sentiment as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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