Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors highs of 92-97°F for Dallas on March 22, driven by the latest NOAA and NWS forecast ensembles projecting peak temperatures in this range amid a persistent upper-level ridge over Texas. Southerly winds are advecting moist, warm Gulf air, boosting daytime heating under mostly sunny skies with low cloud cover, while dry soils from recent deficits enhance sensible heating. Differentiating the tight 92-93°F (29%) and 94-95°F (27.5%) leads are subtle model spreads—GFS slightly warmer at 95°F, ECMWF cooler near 93°F—plus microscale factors like urban heat island effects and exact timing of the diurnal maximum. A stalled frontal boundary adds minor uncertainty, but no cooldown is signaled before Sunday's update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on March 22?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 22?
92-93°F 29%
94-95°F 25%
96-97°F 20%
90-91°F 18%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
29%
94-95°F
25%
96-97°F
20%
98°F or higher
11%
92-93°F 29%
94-95°F 25%
96-97°F 20%
90-91°F 18%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
29%
94-95°F
25%
96-97°F
20%
98°F or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors highs of 92-97°F for Dallas on March 22, driven by the latest NOAA and NWS forecast ensembles projecting peak temperatures in this range amid a persistent upper-level ridge over Texas. Southerly winds are advecting moist, warm Gulf air, boosting daytime heating under mostly sunny skies with low cloud cover, while dry soils from recent deficits enhance sensible heating. Differentiating the tight 92-93°F (29%) and 94-95°F (27.5%) leads are subtle model spreads—GFS slightly warmer at 95°F, ECMWF cooler near 93°F—plus microscale factors like urban heat island effects and exact timing of the diurnal maximum. A stalled frontal boundary adds minor uncertainty, but no cooldown is signaled before Sunday's update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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