Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-70s highs for Los Angeles on March 26, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of 74-77°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 75°F, with 76-77°F edging ahead at 24.5% due to anticipated early marine layer burn-off allowing greater boundary-layer mixing inland. Slightly cooler 72-73°F odds (20.5%) reflect potential persistence of cool sea breezes capping coastal peaks, while 74-75°F (21.5%) captures the median model spread. Historical March baselines near 70°F underscore the ridge's amplifying effect, though microscale urban heat islands add ~2°F variability; monitor afternoon 18Z model updates for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?
76-77°F 22%
74-75°F 14%
72-73°F 9%
78-79°F 6%
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
4%
76-77°F 22%
74-75°F 14%
72-73°F 9%
78-79°F 6%
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-70s highs for Los Angeles on March 26, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of 74-77°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 75°F, with 76-77°F edging ahead at 24.5% due to anticipated early marine layer burn-off allowing greater boundary-layer mixing inland. Slightly cooler 72-73°F odds (20.5%) reflect potential persistence of cool sea breezes capping coastal peaks, while 74-75°F (21.5%) captures the median model spread. Historical March baselines near 70°F underscore the ridge's amplifying effect, though microscale urban heat islands add ~2°F variability; monitor afternoon 18Z model updates for shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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