Traders favor 18°C (37.5%) as Chongqing's highest temperature on March 23, closely trailed by 19°C (28%) and 17°C (26.5%), reflecting ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models that converge on mild afternoon peaks amid typical March climatology. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates highlight partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds boosting diurnal heating to 17-19°C, differentiating outcomes via subtle solar insolation variations—full sun could nudge toward 19°C, while stray clouds cap at 17°C. Historical March 23 highs average 18.2°C with a 2°C standard deviation, underscoring model uncertainty from frontal boundary remnants, as no extreme warmth or cold snaps are indicated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
18°C 31%
17°C 26%
19°C 23%
20°C 17%
14°C or below
4%
15°C
3%
16°C
13%
17°C
29%
18°C
36%
19°C
20%
20°C
17%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
18°C 31%
17°C 26%
19°C 23%
20°C 17%
14°C or below
4%
15°C
3%
16°C
13%
17°C
29%
18°C
36%
19°C
20%
20°C
17%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders favor 18°C (37.5%) as Chongqing's highest temperature on March 23, closely trailed by 19°C (28%) and 17°C (26.5%), reflecting ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models that converge on mild afternoon peaks amid typical March climatology. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates highlight partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds boosting diurnal heating to 17-19°C, differentiating outcomes via subtle solar insolation variations—full sun could nudge toward 19°C, while stray clouds cap at 17°C. Historical March 23 highs average 18.2°C with a 2°C standard deviation, underscoring model uncertainty from frontal boundary remnants, as no extreme warmth or cold snaps are indicated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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