Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race between 78-79°F (27.5%) and 82-83°F (27.0%) for Denver's March 24 high temperature, driven primarily by split signals in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts from NOAA and ECMWF, which project peaks of 78-82°F amid a building high-pressure ridge over the Four Corners region promoting downslope chinook warming. Differentiating factors include GFS runs favoring stronger solar heating and lighter winds for 82-83°F, versus ECMWF's cooler bias from anticipated thin high clouds reducing insolation, against Denver's March climatological average of 56°F but with frequent 80°F outliers in dry springs. Low precipitation odds (under 10%) bolster warmth, though 18Z model updates today could pivot sentiment toward one bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on March 24?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 24?
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 25%
76-77°F 16%
69°F or below
12%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
9%
88°F or higher
11%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 25%
76-77°F 16%
69°F or below
12%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
9%
88°F or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Denver International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race between 78-79°F (27.5%) and 82-83°F (27.0%) for Denver's March 24 high temperature, driven primarily by split signals in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts from NOAA and ECMWF, which project peaks of 78-82°F amid a building high-pressure ridge over the Four Corners region promoting downslope chinook warming. Differentiating factors include GFS runs favoring stronger solar heating and lighter winds for 82-83°F, versus ECMWF's cooler bias from anticipated thin high clouds reducing insolation, against Denver's March climatological average of 56°F but with frequent 80°F outliers in dry springs. Low precipitation odds (under 10%) bolster warmth, though 18Z model updates today could pivot sentiment toward one bin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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