Trader consensus clusters tightly around 76-77°F (26.5%) and 78-79°F (25.5%) for Atlanta's March 23 high temperature, propelled by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of 77°F under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm southerly winds and ample sunshine. Key differentiators stem from ensemble model spread: ECMWF and GFS runs peak at 78-80°F with clear skies minimizing cloud-forced cooling, while the cooler-leaning Canadian model hints at 76°F if mid-level moisture increases. This aligns with March climatology—averaging 68°F—but recent jet stream amplification has pushed anomalies 8-10°F above normal, with negligible odds (<2%) for sub-74°F amid absent cold fronts. Traders monitor afternoon soundings for final convective risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
76-77°F 29%
78-79°F 27%
80-81°F 15%
74-75°F 13%
$20,156 Vol.
$20,156 Vol.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
3%
84°F or higher
2%
76-77°F 29%
78-79°F 27%
80-81°F 15%
74-75°F 13%
$20,156 Vol.
$20,156 Vol.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
3%
84°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 76-77°F (26.5%) and 78-79°F (25.5%) for Atlanta's March 23 high temperature, propelled by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of 77°F under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm southerly winds and ample sunshine. Key differentiators stem from ensemble model spread: ECMWF and GFS runs peak at 78-80°F with clear skies minimizing cloud-forced cooling, while the cooler-leaning Canadian model hints at 76°F if mid-level moisture increases. This aligns with March climatology—averaging 68°F—but recent jet stream amplification has pushed anomalies 8-10°F above normal, with negligible odds (<2%) for sub-74°F amid absent cold fronts. Traders monitor afternoon soundings for final convective risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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