Trader consensus strongly backs a high of 58°F or higher in Atlanta on March 25 (96.5% implied probability), propelled by aligned ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models showing daytime peaks in the low-to-mid 60s under a persistent Southeast ridge of high pressure. National Weather Service guidance reinforces this with mostly sunny skies and temperatures tracking 3-5°F above seasonal normals, corroborated by recent soundings indicating stable boundary layer conditions. This positioning draws on strong historical model skill for springtime Southeast outlooks, though a realistic upset—such as an unanticipated shortwave trough diving from the Plains—could drag highs below 58°F if upper-level winds shift abruptly before the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 25?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 25?
58°F or higher 96.4%
52-53°F 1.6%
50-51°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$21,168 Vol.
$21,168 Vol.
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
2%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F or higher
96%
58°F or higher 96.4%
52-53°F 1.6%
50-51°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$21,168 Vol.
$21,168 Vol.
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
2%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly backs a high of 58°F or higher in Atlanta on March 25 (96.5% implied probability), propelled by aligned ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models showing daytime peaks in the low-to-mid 60s under a persistent Southeast ridge of high pressure. National Weather Service guidance reinforces this with mostly sunny skies and temperatures tracking 3-5°F above seasonal normals, corroborated by recent soundings indicating stable boundary layer conditions. This positioning draws on strong historical model skill for springtime Southeast outlooks, though a realistic upset—such as an unanticipated shortwave trough diving from the Plains—could drag highs below 58°F if upper-level winds shift abruptly before the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions