Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 35°C as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 19, driven by official Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) ensemble forecasts projecting a daytime maximum in the 34-36°C range under clear skies and light northerly winds. Historical March data for the city shows average highs of 33-35°C, with current upper-air patterns indicating stable seasonal norms absent heatwave triggers like western disturbances. This positioning aligns with verified model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on mild warming. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge in solar insolation from reduced cloud cover or a 5-10% forecast error margin, potentially pushing toward 36-37°C, though low-probability convective activity could cap it lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 19?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 19?
35°C 100.0%
34°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$6,282 Vol.
$6,282 Vol.
34°C or below
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
34°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$6,282 Vol.
$6,282 Vol.
34°C or below
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 15, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 35°C as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 19, driven by official Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) ensemble forecasts projecting a daytime maximum in the 34-36°C range under clear skies and light northerly winds. Historical March data for the city shows average highs of 33-35°C, with current upper-air patterns indicating stable seasonal norms absent heatwave triggers like western disturbances. This positioning aligns with verified model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on mild warming. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge in solar insolation from reduced cloud cover or a 5-10% forecast error margin, potentially pushing toward 36-37°C, though low-probability convective activity could cap it lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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