Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-70s highs for Los Angeles on March 25, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on 74-77°F peaks, up slightly from prior runs amid a strengthening subtropical ridge off the California coast. This setup promises ample sunshine and light offshore winds, minimizing marine layer cooling that could drop readings to 72°F or below, while lacking the Santa Ana gusts needed for 80°F+. Model spread reflects uncertainty in trough timing—earlier arrival favors 72-73°F, delayed pushes 76-79°F—against a March historical average high of 70°F and record swings from 60-92°F. Upcoming 12z updates could sharpen odds further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 25?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 25?
84-85°F 25%
76-77°F 20%
78-79°F 19%
72-73°F 18%
69°F or below
14%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
14%
88°F or higher
16%
84-85°F 25%
76-77°F 20%
78-79°F 19%
72-73°F 18%
69°F or below
14%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
14%
88°F or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward mid-70s highs for Los Angeles on March 25, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on 74-77°F peaks, up slightly from prior runs amid a strengthening subtropical ridge off the California coast. This setup promises ample sunshine and light offshore winds, minimizing marine layer cooling that could drop readings to 72°F or below, while lacking the Santa Ana gusts needed for 80°F+. Model spread reflects uncertainty in trough timing—earlier arrival favors 72-73°F, delayed pushes 76-79°F—against a March historical average high of 70°F and record swings from 60-92°F. Upcoming 12z updates could sharpen odds further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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