Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts peg Lucknow's March 24 maximum temperature near 32°C amid mostly clear skies and light winds, anchoring trader consensus at 32.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 33°C (21%) and 31°C or below (22.5%). This distribution highlights high uncertainty from diverging global models like GFS and ECMWF, which vary by 2-3°C due to unpredictable afternoon cloud development and urban heat island effects amplifying diurnal peaks. Lower outcomes hinge on sudden convective showers or cooler air advection, while hotter scenarios (34°C+ at <10%) require sustained solar insolation without haze; historical March averages around 33°C provide baseline context for traders eyeing resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 24?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 24?
32°C 35%
33°C 21%
31°C or below 20%
34°C 10%
31°C or below
20%
32°C
35%
33°C
21%
34°C
10%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
2%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
33°C 21%
31°C or below 20%
34°C 10%
31°C or below
20%
32°C
35%
33°C
21%
34°C
10%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
2%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts peg Lucknow's March 24 maximum temperature near 32°C amid mostly clear skies and light winds, anchoring trader consensus at 32.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 33°C (21%) and 31°C or below (22.5%). This distribution highlights high uncertainty from diverging global models like GFS and ECMWF, which vary by 2-3°C due to unpredictable afternoon cloud development and urban heat island effects amplifying diurnal peaks. Lower outcomes hinge on sudden convective showers or cooler air advection, while hotter scenarios (34°C+ at <10%) require sustained solar insolation without haze; historical March averages around 33°C provide baseline context for traders eyeing resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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