GPT-6 released by…?
GPT 5·Sam Altman

GPT-6 released by…?

79%

December 31, 2026

$326K Vol.

$31.1K Liq.

39

Which company has best AI model end of June?
GPT 5·AI

Which company has best AI model end of June?

47%

Anthropic

$2M Vol.

$250K Liq.

61

Ends in 4 months

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
GPT 5·Sam Altman

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

32%

December 31, 2026

$177K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

28

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
GPT 5·AI

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

34%

Anthropic

$844K Vol.

$172K Liq.

19

Ends in 4 months

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
GPT 5·AI

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

35%

$0 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

GPT-5.5 released by...?
GPT 5·Sam Altman

GPT-5.5 released by...?

95%

June 30

$278K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

2

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
GPT 5·Business

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

74%

40%+

$3.3K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
GPT 5·AI

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

46%

60%+

$0 Vol.

$928 Liq.

4

Ends in 4 months

Grok 5 released by...?
GPT 5·Elon Musk

Grok 5 released by...?

64%

June 30, 2026

$238K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

27

Ends in 4 months

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 15?
GPT 5·Sam Altman

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 15?

3%

$7.1K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?
GPT 5·AI

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

12%

$36.4K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

5kt meteor strike in 2026?
GPT 5·SpaceX

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

36%

$243K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Claude 5 released by…?
GPT 5·AI

Claude 5 released by…?

33%

April 30, 2026

$3M Vol.

$32.2K Liq.

160

Ends in about 2 months

Counter-Strike: STATE vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage
GPT 5·Sports

Counter-Strike: STATE vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage

100%

Rune Eaters

$16.5K Vol.

$487 Liq.

Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D
GPT 5·Sports

Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D

100%

5Actors

$111 Vol.

$2 Liq.

Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
GPT 5·Sports

Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

100%

FUT Esports

$0 Vol.

$1 Liq.

Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D
GPT 5·Sports

Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D

100%

ARCRED

$0 Vol.

$2 Liq.

What will happen before GTA VI?
GPT 5·Politics

What will happen before GTA VI?

90%

Drake releases Iceman

$19M Vol.

$1M Liq.

776

Ends in 5 months

GA-05 House Election Winner
GPT 5·Politics

GA-05 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$0 Vol.

$20.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stage
GPT 5·Sports

Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stage

85%

Game Hunters

$376 Vol.

$41.8K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like GPT 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 108 active markets for GPT 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “GPT-6 released by…?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $25.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “ChatGPT Outage by March 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will happen before GTA VI?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will happen before GTA VI?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 90% chance to Drake releases Iceman. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on GPT 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.