ChatGPT Outage by March 15?
Chatgpt·AI

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

8%

$38.1K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends in about 12 hours

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
Chatgpt·AI

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

33%

March 15

$2.6K Vol.

$284 Liq.

Ends in 16 days

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
Chatgpt·Business

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

75%

40%+

$3.3K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Chatgpt·AI

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

18%

$28.9K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

6

Ends in 10 months

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
Chatgpt·AI

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

46%

60%+

$0 Vol.

$935 Liq.

4

Ends in 4 months

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 15?
Chatgpt·Sam Altman

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 15?

3%

$7.1K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in about 12 hours

GPT-6 released by…?
Chatgpt·Sam Altman

GPT-6 released by…?

80%

December 31, 2026

$326K Vol.

$32.0K Liq.

39

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?
Chatgpt·Culture

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?

92%

ChatGPT

$2.8K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?
Chatgpt·Culture

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?

75%

Claude by Anthropic

$596 Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
Chatgpt·AI

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

10%

$0 Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 10 months

Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
Chatgpt·AI

Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?

68%

↑ 1550

$62.5K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Chatgpt·Business

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

19%

$61.1K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
Chatgpt·AI

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

77%

Anthropic

$379K Vol.

$59.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Chatgpt·AI

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

29%

$0 Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 10 months

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Chatgpt·Business

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

28%

xAI

$1M Vol.

$44.0K Liq.

22

Ends in 4 months

Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
Chatgpt·AI

Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

88%

Anthropic

$221K Vol.

$72.0K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Chatgpt·AI

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

34%

Anthropic

$845K Vol.

$168K Liq.

19

Ends in 4 months

Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Chatgpt·AI

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

36%

Anthropic

$406 Vol.

$79.0K Liq.

51

Ends in 4 months

GPT-5.5 released by...?
Chatgpt·Sam Altman

GPT-5.5 released by...?

95%

June 30

$278K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

2

Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
Chatgpt·AI

Which company has the second best AI model end of March?

87%

Anthropic

$282K Vol.

$107K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Chatgpt.

Polymarket currently hosts 112 active markets for Chatgpt that lets you track or trade on predictions like “ChatGPT Outage by March 15?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “ChatGPT Outage by March 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Chatgpt predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.