Natural Disaster in 2026?
Natural Disaster·Science

Natural Disaster in 2026?

32%

$179K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

6

Ends in 10 months

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Natural Disaster·Science

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

10%

$35.8K Vol.

$18.5K Liq.

8

Ends in about 1 year

5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Natural Disaster·SpaceX

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

36%

$242K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Natural Disaster·SpaceX

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

18%

$124K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Will a hurricane form by May 31?
Natural Disaster·Weather

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

6%

$32.7K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 months

Megaquake by June 30?
Natural Disaster·Weather

Megaquake by June 30?

25%

$20.0K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
Natural Disaster·Weather

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

7%

$5.3K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Named storm forms before hurricane season?
Natural Disaster·Science

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

48%

$297K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Megaquake by March 31?
Natural Disaster·Weather

Megaquake by March 31?

5%

$96.7K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
Natural Disaster·Science

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

48%

1

$564K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 year

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 9 - March 15?
Natural Disaster·Weather

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 9 - March 15?

81%

0

$251K Vol.

$27.5K Liq.

Ends in about 19 hours

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
Natural Disaster·Science

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

38%

8+

$1M Vol.

$42.6K Liq.

20

Ends in 4 months

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?
Natural Disaster·Science

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

87%

150+

$44.0K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
Natural Disaster·Science

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

32%

11–13

$996K Vol.

$27.6K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
Natural Disaster·Science

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

95%

May 31

$17.9K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Natural Disaster·Science

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

6%

$516K Vol.

$48.9K Liq.

26

Ends in 10 months

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
Natural Disaster·Science

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

35%

1250+

$31.9K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 10 months

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Natural Disaster·Science

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10%

$144K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

6

Ends in 10 months

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Natural Disaster·Science

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

39%

$267K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 10 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?
Natural Disaster·Crypto

MegaETH airdrop by...?

64%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$30.5K Liq.

106

Ends in 4 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Natural Disaster.

Polymarket currently hosts 119 active markets for Natural Disaster that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Natural Disaster in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Named storm forms before hurricane season?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 64% chance to June 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Natural Disaster predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.