Claude 5 released by…?
Claude 5·AI

Claude 5 released by…?

32%

April 30, 2026

$3M Vol.

$33.1K Liq.

160

Ends in about 2 months

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
Claude 5·Business

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

93%

35%+

$166K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 4 months

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
Claude 5·AI

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

73%

50%+

$53.0K Vol.

$715 Liq.

7

Ends in 4 months

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Claude 5·AI

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

87%

OpenAI

$657K Vol.

$125K Liq.

8

Ends in 17 days

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Claude 5·Business

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

53%

Anthropic

$38.1K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
Claude 5·AI

Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?

86%

$9.0K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Claude 5·Finance

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

81%

600B+

$16.6K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Claude 5·Business

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

11%

$6.4K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Claude 4.7 released by...?
Claude 5·AI

Claude 4.7 released by...?

55%

June 30

$34.1K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 4 months

Will Claude go down on __ days in March?
Claude 5·Anthropic

Will Claude go down on __ days in March?

34%

5-6

$66.0K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

What will be said during the Oscars?
Claude 5·Awards

What will be said during the Oscars?

93%

Mom

$78.6K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

5

Ends in about 18 hours

What will Trump say this week? (March 22)
Claude 5·Politics

What will Trump say this week? (March 22)

92%

Drone

$280 Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D
Claude 5·Sports

Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D

100%

ARCRED

$0 Vol.

$2 Liq.

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
Claude 5·Politics

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

20%

$0 Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

19

Ends in 17 days

Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?
Claude 5·Sports

Will BC.Game make a roster move before May?

31%

$0 Vol.

$356 Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

GPT-5.5 released by...?
Claude 5·Sam Altman

GPT-5.5 released by...?

91%

June 30

$277K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

2

Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D
Claude 5·Sports

Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D

100%

5Actors

$111 Vol.

$2 Liq.

LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group B
Claude 5·Sports

LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group B

76%

LYON

$66.4K Vol.

$139K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

LA-05 House Election Winner
Claude 5·Politics

LA-05 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$0 Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs MASONIC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Play-In Group B
Claude 5·Sports

Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs MASONIC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Play-In Group B

69%

MASONIC

$0 Vol.

$39 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 113 active markets for Claude 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Claude 5 released by…?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Claude 5 released by…?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Claude 5 released by…?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 32% chance to April 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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