Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest for the South Carolina Republican gubernatorial primary, with Attorney General Alan Wilson holding a slim 39% implied probability edge over Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette at 36.5%, driven by early polls showing them neck-and-neck and balanced fundraising totals exceeding $1 million each. Wilson's establishment backing from Sen. Lindsey Graham and Evette's support from Gov. Henry McMaster underscore the tight dynamics, while Rep. Nancy Mace trails at 18.5% despite her national visibility. Recent candidate announcements and subtle shifts in donor momentum maintain parity; separation may arise from a potential Trump endorsement, first formal debates, or Q4 financial filings ahead of the June 2026 primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedPamela Evette 37%
Alan Wilson 36%
Nancy Mace 19%
Ralph Norman 10.4%
Pamela Evette
37%
Alan Wilson
39%
Nancy Mace
19%
Ralph Norman
9%
Josh Kimbrell
1%
Pamela Evette 37%
Alan Wilson 36%
Nancy Mace 19%
Ralph Norman 10.4%
Pamela Evette
37%
Alan Wilson
39%
Nancy Mace
19%
Ralph Norman
9%
Josh Kimbrell
1%
If no 2026 South Carolina Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest for the South Carolina Republican gubernatorial primary, with Attorney General Alan Wilson holding a slim 39% implied probability edge over Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette at 36.5%, driven by early polls showing them neck-and-neck and balanced fundraising totals exceeding $1 million each. Wilson's establishment backing from Sen. Lindsey Graham and Evette's support from Gov. Henry McMaster underscore the tight dynamics, while Rep. Nancy Mace trails at 18.5% despite her national visibility. Recent candidate announcements and subtle shifts in donor momentum maintain parity; separation may arise from a potential Trump endorsement, first formal debates, or Q4 financial filings ahead of the June 2026 primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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