Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?

Name: Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?
Start: 2026-03-20T17:22:57.080Z
End: 2026-03-29T00:00:00.000Z

Politics·Culture

Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?

Mar 22

Mar 29

Mar 22

Mar 29

17.5-18m 50%

18.5-19m 49%

19-19.5m 47%

>19.5m 47%

NEW

Mar 29, 2026

<17.5m

$0 Vol.

42%

17.5-18m

$0 Vol.

50%

18-18.5m

$0 Vol.

44%

18.5-19m

$0 Vol.

49%

19-19.5m

$0 Vol.

47%

>19.5m

$0 Vol.

47%

17.5-18m 50%

18.5-19m 49%

19-19.5m 47%

>19.5m 47%

NEW

Mar 29, 2026

<17.5m

$0 Vol.

42%

17.5-18m

$0 Vol.

50%

18-18.5m

$0 Vol.

44%

18.5-19m

$0 Vol.

49%

19-19.5m

$0 Vol.

47%

>19.5m

$0 Vol.

47%

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between March 23, 2026 and March 29, 2026 (inclusive). The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million). If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for any of the dates from March 23, 2026 to March 29, 2026 by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

Trader consensus on TSA passenger screenings for March 23-29 reflects tight clustering around 17.5-19.5 million, driven by peak spring break travel volumes and pre-Easter surges, mirroring record highs from prior weeks like 2.78 million on March 16. Partial daily data through March 27 shows about 13.2 million screened, leaving weekend tallies (historically 20-25% of weekly total) as the key variable amid favorable weather and full flight loads. Prior year comparisons (16.8 million same week) and recent averages (18+ million) keep odds balanced at 44-47.5% across top bins, with under 17.5 million at 41.5%. Final TSA reports for March 28-29 could decisively shift probabilities higher if exceeding 4.5 million combined.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 21, 2026, 1:31 AM UTC

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "17.5-18m" at 50%, followed by "18.5-19m" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?" is "17.5-18m" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "18.5-19m" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

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On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 50¢ for "17.5-18m" in the "Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 50% chance that "17.5-18m" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 50¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 50¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Mar 29, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?" market has an active community of 28 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?

Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?

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Comments (28)

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