Hannah Pingree leads trader consensus at 36% implied probability in the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary market, driven by recent University of New Hampshire polling showing her at 32% support among likely Democratic voters, bolstered by her top fundraising totals exceeding $500,000 and endorsements from progressive allies including her mother, U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree. Nirav Shah holds 23.5% on name recognition from his Maine CDC directorship during the COVID-19 response, while Senate President Troy Jackson trails at 19.5% with strong labor union backing. Angus King III and Shenna Bellows lag due to lower visibility, though Bellows gained brief attention from her role in statewide ballot disputes. Markets reflect uncertainty ahead of further candidate announcements and the June 2026 primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHannah Pingree 30%
Nirav Shah 24%
Troy Jackson 19%
Angus King III 7.1%
$10,144 Vol.
$10,144 Vol.
Hannah Pingree
37%
Nirav Shah
24%
Troy Jackson
19%
Angus King III
7%
Shenna Bellows
5%
Jason Cherry
<1%
Kenneth Pinet
<1%
Hannah Pingree 30%
Nirav Shah 24%
Troy Jackson 19%
Angus King III 7.1%
$10,144 Vol.
$10,144 Vol.
Hannah Pingree
37%
Nirav Shah
24%
Troy Jackson
19%
Angus King III
7%
Shenna Bellows
5%
Jason Cherry
<1%
Kenneth Pinet
<1%
If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hannah Pingree leads trader consensus at 36% implied probability in the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary market, driven by recent University of New Hampshire polling showing her at 32% support among likely Democratic voters, bolstered by her top fundraising totals exceeding $500,000 and endorsements from progressive allies including her mother, U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree. Nirav Shah holds 23.5% on name recognition from his Maine CDC directorship during the COVID-19 response, while Senate President Troy Jackson trails at 19.5% with strong labor union backing. Angus King III and Shenna Bellows lag due to lower visibility, though Bellows gained brief attention from her role in statewide ballot disputes. Markets reflect uncertainty ahead of further candidate announcements and the June 2026 primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions