Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Texas Senate·Politics

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

51%

Democratic Party

$863K Vol.

$86.7K today

$331K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?
Texas Senate·Politics

Which party will win the House in 2026?

85%

Democratic Party

$4M Vol.

$429K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
Texas Senate·Politics

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

61%

John Cornyn

$9M Vol.

$194K today

$334K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
Texas Senate·Politics

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

52%

0.6–0.9M

$30.1K Vol.

$20.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Texas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate·Politics

Texas Senate Election Winner

56%

Republican

$132K Vol.

$59.8K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Texas Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory (Smaller Brackets)
Texas Senate·Politics

Texas Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory (Smaller Brackets)

97%

Talarico 6.0–6.5%

$98.9K Vol.

$55.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Texas Senate Election Matchup
Texas Senate·Politics

Texas Senate Election Matchup

55%

Talarico & Cornyn

$528K Vol.

$80.6K Liq.

3

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
Texas Senate·Politics

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

22%

Cornyn 3–6%

$4.0K Vol.

$32.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Texas Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Texas Senate·Politics

Texas Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

97%

Talarico 5–10%

$365K Vol.

$61.3K Liq.

8

Turnout in Texas Democratic Senate Primary First Round
Texas Senate·Politics

Turnout in Texas Democratic Senate Primary First Round

99%

2.0M+

$25.0K Vol.

$22.5K Liq.

1

Larger margin of victory in Dem or GOP Texas Senate Primary?
Texas Senate·Politics

Larger margin of victory in Dem or GOP Texas Senate Primary?

93%

Dems

$7.3K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Turnout in Texas Republican Senate Primary First Round
Texas Senate·Politics

Turnout in Texas Republican Senate Primary First Round

95%

2.0–2.2M

$28.9K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?
Texas Senate·Politics

Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?

99%

Dems

$0 Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

3

Texas Republican Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Texas Senate·Politics

Texas Republican Senate Primary Margin of Victory

99%

Cornyn <3%

$0 Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

1

Will any candidate win the Texas Republican Senate Primary outright?
Texas Senate·Politics

Will any candidate win the Texas Republican Senate Primary outright?

1%

$0 Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

1

Will Ken Paxton drop out?
Texas Senate·Politics

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

26%

$0 Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Nothing Ever Happens: March
Texas Senate·Politics

Nothing Ever Happens: March

44%

Nothing

$162K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
Texas Senate·Politics

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

81%

$2.0K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Texas Senate·Politics

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

24%

≤47

$792K Vol.

$337K today

$167K Liq.

4

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner
Texas Senate·Politics

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner

71%

Mayes Middleton

$61 Vol.

$550 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Texas Senate.

Polymarket currently hosts 118 active markets for Texas Senate that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which party will win the Senate in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $16.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Larger margin of victory in Dem or GOP Texas Senate Primary?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 61% chance to John Cornyn. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Texas Senate predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.