Will any Illinois Dem House incumbent lose their primary?
Democrat·Politics

Will any Illinois Dem House incumbent lose their primary?

16%

$0 Vol.

$965 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Larger margin of victory in Dem or GOP Texas Senate Primary?
Democrat·Politics

Larger margin of victory in Dem or GOP Texas Senate Primary?

93%

Dems

$7.3K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?
Democrat·Politics

Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?

99%

Dems

$0 Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

3

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?
Democrat·Politics

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

19%

$0 Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrat·Politics

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

49%

Democrats Sweep

$4M Vol.

$142K today

$512K Liq.

124

Ends in 8 months

NY-18 House Election Winner
Democrat·Politics

NY-18 House Election Winner

82%

Democratic Party

$27.9K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

NE-02 House Election Winner
Democrat·Politics

NE-02 House Election Winner

69%

Democratic Party

$27.0K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

UT-01 House Election Winner
Democrat·Politics

UT-01 House Election Winner

78%

Democratic Party

$25.0K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Texas Senate Election Winner
Democrat·Politics

Texas Senate Election Winner

56%

Republican

$132K Vol.

$59.8K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

IL-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Democrat·Politics

IL-07 Democratic Primary Winner

58%

Melissa Conyears Ervin

$176K Vol.

$82.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

IL-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Democrat·Politics

IL-09 Democratic Primary Winner

67%

Daniel Biss

$66.0K Vol.

$35.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 2 days

IL-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Democrat·Politics

IL-02 Democratic Primary Winner

57%

Jesse Jackson Jr.

$103K Vol.

$57.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

NC-12 House Election Winner
Democrat·Politics

NC-12 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$8.6K Vol.

$39.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

NC-04 House Election Winner
Democrat·Politics

NC-04 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$4.9K Vol.

$32.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

NJ-10 House Election Winner
Democrat·Politics

NJ-10 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$11.3K Vol.

$27.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

FL-18 House Election Winner
Democrat·Politics

FL-18 House Election Winner

90%

Republican Party

$5.2K Vol.

$20.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

NC-05 House Election Winner
Democrat·Politics

NC-05 House Election Winner

86%

Republican Party

$11.7K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

IL-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Democrat·Politics

IL-08 Democratic Primary Winner

75%

Melissa Bean

$102K Vol.

$38.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

MS-03 House Election Winner
Democrat·Politics

MS-03 House Election Winner

94%

Republican Party

$14.8K Vol.

$23.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

FL-08 House Election Winner
Democrat·Politics

FL-08 House Election Winner

89%

Republican Party

$6.4K Vol.

$24.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Democrat.

Polymarket currently hosts 1253 active markets for Democrat that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will any Illinois Dem House incumbent lose their primary?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will any Illinois Dem House incumbent lose their primary?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 49% chance to Democrats Sweep. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Democrat predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.