Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Earn 4%·Politics

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

25%

Gavin Newsom

$816M Vol.

$5M today

$43M Liq.

582

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Earn 4%·Politics

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

38%

J.D. Vance

$405M Vol.

$5M today

$23M Liq.

276

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028
Earn 4%·Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028

20%

JD Vance

$400M Vol.

$3M today

$26M Liq.

724

Ends in over 2 years

Netanyahu out by...?
Earn 4%·Politics

Netanyahu out by...?

47%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$516K today

$202K Liq.

28

Ends in 10 months

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Earn 4%·Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

1%

$6M Vol.

$153K today

$291K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Earn 4%·Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

10%

$11M Vol.

$153K today

$530K Liq.

71

Ends in 10 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Earn 4%·Politics

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

48%

Democrats Sweep

$4M Vol.

$139K today

$486K Liq.

124

Ends in 8 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Earn 4%·Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

38%

$12M Vol.

$104K today

$357K Liq.

5,422

Ends in 10 months

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Earn 4%·Politics

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

51%

Democratic Party

$856K Vol.

$94.7K today

$361K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?
Earn 4%·Politics

Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?

12%

$3M Vol.

$174K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Earn 4%·World Affairs

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

9%

$7M Vol.

$193K Liq.

705

Ends in 10 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?
Earn 4%·Politics

Which party will win the House in 2026?

85%

Democratic Party

$4M Vol.

$420K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Trump impeached by end of 2026?
Earn 4%·Politics

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

14%

$576K Vol.

$36.0K Liq.

32

Ends in 10 months

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Earn 4%·Politics

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

56%

Democratic

$1M Vol.

$713K Liq.

56

Ends in over 2 years

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Earn 4%·Politics

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

25%

$2M Vol.

$57.5K Liq.

89

Ends in 10 months

Erdoğan out by end of 2026?
Earn 4%·Politics

Erdoğan out by end of 2026?

11%

$260K Vol.

$20.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 10 months

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Earn 4%·Politics

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

7%

$502K Vol.

$52.8K Liq.

31

Ends in 10 months

Claude 4.7 released by...?
Earn 4%·AI

Claude 4.7 released by...?

55%

June 30

$34.1K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 4 months

VEO 4 released by...?
Earn 4%·AI

VEO 4 released by...?

3%

March 31

$27.6K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 17 days

Counter-Strike: Tricked vs struggletony (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B
Earn 4%·Sports

Counter-Strike: Tricked vs struggletony (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B

68%

Tricked

$8.9K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends in about 10 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Earn 4%.

Polymarket currently hosts 118 active markets for Earn 4% that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.7B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Earn 4% predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.