Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
Humanoid·Tesla

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

92%

June 30

$59.4K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

10

Ends in 10 months

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Humanoid·Business

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

56%

Anthropic

$38.3K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

MegaETH airdrop by...?
Humanoid·Crypto

MegaETH airdrop by...?

63%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$31.0K Liq.

106

Ends in 4 months

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
Humanoid·AI

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

10%

$0 Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

3

Ends in 10 months

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 15?
Humanoid·Sam Altman

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 15?

3%

$7.1K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in about 10 hours

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?
Humanoid·AI

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

9%

$38.1K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in about 10 hours

Anthropic CEO arrested?
Humanoid·Politics

Anthropic CEO arrested?

4%

$132K Vol.

$31.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Humanoid·Finance

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

94%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

$726K Vol.

$50.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?
Humanoid·Crypto

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

24%

December 31, 2026

$422K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

27

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Humanoid·Finance

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

81%

600B+

$16.6K Vol.

$20.8K Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

WPL: Gujarat Giants Women vs UP Warriorz Women - Most Sixes
Humanoid·Sports

WPL: Gujarat Giants Women vs UP Warriorz Women - Most Sixes

-

$930 Vol.

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Humanoid·AI

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

30%

$0 Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 10 months

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
Humanoid·Business

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

93%

35%+

$166K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 4 months

Counter-Strike: Sangal vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage
Humanoid·Sports

Counter-Strike: Sangal vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage

60%

Sangal

$6.8K Vol.

$36.4K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
Humanoid·AI

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

73%

50%+

$53.0K Vol.

$760 Liq.

7

Ends in 4 months

Claude 4.7 released by...?
Humanoid·AI

Claude 4.7 released by...?

55%

June 30

$34.6K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 4 months

WPL: Gujarat Giants Women vs UP Warriorz Women - Team Top Batter
Humanoid·Sports

WPL: Gujarat Giants Women vs UP Warriorz Women - Team Top Batter

-

$106 Vol.

Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Abyssal (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group A
Humanoid·Sports

Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Abyssal (BO1) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group A

63%

Abyssal

$0 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Legends Cricket League: Konark Suryas Odisha vs Royal Riders Punjab
Humanoid·Sports

Legends Cricket League: Konark Suryas Odisha vs Royal Riders Punjab

50%

Konark Suryas Odisha

$13 Vol.

$86 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Humanoid·Politics

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

51%

$402K Vol.

$30.6K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Humanoid.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Humanoid that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Tesla release Optimus by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Anthropic CEO arrested?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 63% chance to June 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Humanoid predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.