Trader sentiment leans bullish for Meta (META) closing above $490 on March 22 (effective trading day for March 23 market), with implied probabilities around 65% reflecting momentum from robust Q4 earnings, where ad revenue surged 25% year-over-year amid AI-driven personalization tools. Llama 3 previews have fueled optimism on Meta's open-source AI edge against rivals like OpenAI and Google, though elevated AI capex—projected at $35-40 billion in 2024—caps near-term upside amid regulatory scrutiny on data privacy. Upcoming catalysts include March 27 developer conference hints on AR/VR integrations and Q1 earnings on April 24; traders eye $485 resistance, with historical post-earnings rallies supporting breach odds if macro yields ease.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$590
64%
$600
39%
$610
20%
$620
15%
$630
9%
$857 Vol.
$590
64%
$600
39%
$610
20%
$620
15%
$630
9%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment leans bullish for Meta (META) closing above $490 on March 22 (effective trading day for March 23 market), with implied probabilities around 65% reflecting momentum from robust Q4 earnings, where ad revenue surged 25% year-over-year amid AI-driven personalization tools. Llama 3 previews have fueled optimism on Meta's open-source AI edge against rivals like OpenAI and Google, though elevated AI capex—projected at $35-40 billion in 2024—caps near-term upside amid regulatory scrutiny on data privacy. Upcoming catalysts include March 27 developer conference hints on AR/VR integrations and Q1 earnings on April 24; traders eye $485 resistance, with historical post-earnings rallies supporting breach odds if macro yields ease.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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