Trader sentiment on Amazon's (AMZN) closing price for the week of March 23 clusters tightly around the $200-$210 range, with $205-$210 (21%) edging out $200-$205 (18.5%) amid post-FOMC caution and mixed Q4 earnings momentum. AWS revenue surged 19% year-over-year in the latest quarter, bolstering implied probabilities above $200 via cloud dominance against Azure and Google Cloud, but elevated AI capex ($100B+ projected 2025) and softening e-commerce (1% growth) cap upside toward $215+. Upcoming CPI data and consumer spending indicators differentiate outcomes, as trader consensus prices 60% odds within $195-$215, reflecting real-money bets on resilient services offsetting retail volatility versus historical post-earnings drifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$205-$210 21%
$200-$205 19%
$210-$215 15%
$195-$200 14%
<$185
11%
$185-$190
10%
$190-$195
10%
$195-$200
14%
$200-$205
19%
$205-$210
21%
$210-$215
15%
$215-$220
12%
$220-$225
8%
$225-$230
9%
>$230
11%
$205-$210 21%
$200-$205 19%
$210-$215 15%
$195-$200 14%
<$185
11%
$185-$190
10%
$190-$195
10%
$195-$200
14%
$200-$205
19%
$205-$210
21%
$210-$215
15%
$215-$220
12%
$220-$225
8%
$225-$230
9%
>$230
11%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Amazon's (AMZN) closing price for the week of March 23 clusters tightly around the $200-$210 range, with $205-$210 (21%) edging out $200-$205 (18.5%) amid post-FOMC caution and mixed Q4 earnings momentum. AWS revenue surged 19% year-over-year in the latest quarter, bolstering implied probabilities above $200 via cloud dominance against Azure and Google Cloud, but elevated AI capex ($100B+ projected 2025) and softening e-commerce (1% growth) cap upside toward $215+. Upcoming CPI data and consumer spending indicators differentiate outcomes, as trader consensus prices 60% odds within $195-$215, reflecting real-money bets on resilient services offsetting retail volatility versus historical post-earnings drifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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