Trader consensus on the La Paz governor race in Bolivia's upcoming subnational elections tilts slightly toward Luis Antonio Revilla at 39.9%, with incumbent Félix Patzi close behind at 33.9%, reflecting tight recent polls from firms like Ciesmori where Revilla leads 32-35% amid Patzi's incumbency challenges and MAS fragmentation boosting René Yahuasi to 13.8%. The race stays neck-and-neck due to opposition vote-splitting between Revilla's Sovereign Bolivia and Patzi's allies, plus internal MAS rifts between Yahuasi and Santos Quispe factions amid national Arce-Morales tensions. Separation could emerge from campaign debates starting soon, fresh endorsements, or unified MAS backing, with official results expected post-2025 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLa Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)
La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)
Felix Patzi 53.2%
Luis Antonio Revilla 40.0%
René Yahuasi Calamani 13.7%
Richard Andrés Gómez 6.9%
$21,485 Vol.
$21,485 Vol.
Felix Patzi
35%
Luis Antonio Revilla
40%
René Yahuasi Calamani
14%
Richard Andrés Gómez
7%
Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer
1%
Demetrio Villca
1%
Santos Quispe Quispe
6%
Gualberto Cusi
1%
Rafael Quispe Flores
<1%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas
<1%
Orlando Callisaya
<1%
Germán Riveros
<1%
Clemente Gutiérrez
<1%
Fidel Chura
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
<1%
Felix Patzi 53.2%
Luis Antonio Revilla 40.0%
René Yahuasi Calamani 13.7%
Richard Andrés Gómez 6.9%
$21,485 Vol.
$21,485 Vol.
Felix Patzi
35%
Luis Antonio Revilla
40%
René Yahuasi Calamani
14%
Richard Andrés Gómez
7%
Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer
1%
Demetrio Villca
1%
Santos Quispe Quispe
6%
Gualberto Cusi
1%
Rafael Quispe Flores
<1%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas
<1%
Orlando Callisaya
<1%
Germán Riveros
<1%
Clemente Gutiérrez
<1%
Fidel Chura
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Market Opened: Jan 20, 2026, 11:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the La Paz governor race in Bolivia's upcoming subnational elections tilts slightly toward Luis Antonio Revilla at 39.9%, with incumbent Félix Patzi close behind at 33.9%, reflecting tight recent polls from firms like Ciesmori where Revilla leads 32-35% amid Patzi's incumbency challenges and MAS fragmentation boosting René Yahuasi to 13.8%. The race stays neck-and-neck due to opposition vote-splitting between Revilla's Sovereign Bolivia and Patzi's allies, plus internal MAS rifts between Yahuasi and Santos Quispe factions amid national Arce-Morales tensions. Separation could emerge from campaign debates starting soon, fresh endorsements, or unified MAS backing, with official results expected post-2025 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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