Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Taiwan·China

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

8%

$723K Vol.

$61.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Taiwan·Politics

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

18%

$1M Vol.

$70.4K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan in 2026?
Taiwan·Politics

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan in 2026?

14%

$18.7K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 10 months

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
Taiwan·Politics

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

88%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$32.3K Vol.

$33.7K Liq.

12

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
Taiwan·Politics

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

5%

$0 Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Taiwan·Politics

Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?

39%

$274K Vol.

$25.4K Liq.

49

Ends in 4 months

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?
Taiwan·Politics

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

37%

December 31

$0 Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Taiwan·Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

10%

$11M Vol.

$159K today

$532K Liq.

71

Ends in 10 months

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Taiwan·Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

1%

$6M Vol.

$155K today

$292K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Taiwan·Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

5%

$1M Vol.

$113K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Taiwan·Politics

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

49%

$402K Vol.

$30.9K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

AI bubble burst by...?
Taiwan·Business

AI bubble burst by...?

17%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$22.7K Liq.

67

Ends in 10 months

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Taiwan·Politics

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

21%

$122K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?
Taiwan·Politics

Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?

2%

June 30, 2026

$35.6K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

16

Ends in 4 months

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Taiwan·Politics

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

22%

$90.2K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

10

Ends in 4 months

What will happen before GTA VI?
Taiwan·Politics

What will happen before GTA VI?

90%

Drake releases Iceman

$19M Vol.

$1M Liq.

776

Ends in 5 months

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Taiwan·Politics

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

94%

China

$89.2K Vol.

$76.4K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Taiwan·Politics

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

26%

India

$71.8K Vol.

$110K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Which companies will the US take a stake in?
Taiwan·Politics

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

41%

D-Wave

$243 Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 10 months

What will Hang Seng (HSI) hit in March?
Taiwan·Finance

What will Hang Seng (HSI) hit in March?

6%

↓ 20100

$0 Vol.

$998 Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Taiwan.

Polymarket currently hosts 125 active markets for Taiwan that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $42.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will happen before GTA VI?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will happen before GTA VI?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 90% chance to Drake releases Iceman. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Taiwan predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.