Trader consensus on the White House X account posting over 200 times during March 20-27, 2026, at 30% implied probability reflects expectations of elevated activity under the post-2024 election administration, with recent polling shifts tightening the presidential race between leading candidates and keeping high-volume bins competitive at 22-30%. Historical data shows official accounts averaging 10-20 daily posts during active periods, but volumes spike with policy announcements or crises; a Republican presidency could mirror past high-engagement patterns, while Democratic continuity suggests moderation. The tight clustering stems from unresolved election catalysts like upcoming debates and endorsements; resolution post-November 2024 or early 2025 staffing announcements could widen separations in these odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhite House # posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?
White House # posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?
200+ 30%
180-199 22%
160-179 21%
120-139 10%
<20
<1%
20-39
3%
40-59
3%
60-79
5%
80-99
9%
100-119
8%
120-139
10%
140-159
9%
160-179
21%
180-199
22%
200+
30%
200+ 30%
180-199 22%
160-179 21%
120-139 10%
<20
<1%
20-39
3%
40-59
3%
60-79
5%
80-99
9%
100-119
8%
120-139
10%
140-159
9%
160-179
21%
180-199
22%
200+
30%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the White House X account posting over 200 times during March 20-27, 2026, at 30% implied probability reflects expectations of elevated activity under the post-2024 election administration, with recent polling shifts tightening the presidential race between leading candidates and keeping high-volume bins competitive at 22-30%. Historical data shows official accounts averaging 10-20 daily posts during active periods, but volumes spike with policy announcements or crises; a Republican presidency could mirror past high-engagement patterns, while Democratic continuity suggests moderation. The tight clustering stems from unresolved election catalysts like upcoming debates and endorsements; resolution post-November 2024 or early 2025 staffing announcements could widen separations in these odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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