Tarik Skubal tops trader consensus at 25% implied probability for the 2026 AL Cy Young, buoyed by his 2024 award-winning campaign—leading the league in innings pitched, ERA, and strikeouts with the Tigers—showcasing elite durability and lefty dominance at age 29. Dylan Cease edges challengers with high-velocity heat and top-tier K/9 rates, though control remains a differentiator after his Padres move. George Kirby's pinpoint command yields low WHIP marks for Mariners stability, while Jacob deGrom's pedigree persists despite injury risks at 38. Garrett Crochet's breakout stuff intrigues but faces workload questions post-2024 limits; the field's depth reflects youth, health uncertainties, and potential free-agent shifts among contenders like Max Fried.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedTarik Skubal 19%
Garrett Crochet 15%
Jacob deGrom 12%
Max Fried 9.6%
Tarik Skubal
25%
Garrett Crochet
11%
Jacob deGrom
12%
Cole Ragans
7%
Hunter Brown
5%
Max Fried
10%
Bryan Woo
8%
Logan Gilbert
7%
Kyle Bradish
6%
Joe Ryan
6%
Ranger Suarez
6%
Nathan Eovaldi
6%
Dylan Cease
14%
George Kirby
12%
Carlos Rodón
5%
Kevin Gausman
5%
MacKenzie Gore
6%
Jose Soriano
5%
Pablo Lopez
6%
Gavin Williams
6%
Bryce Miller
5%
Cam Schlittler
5%
Gerrit Cole
5%
Tarik Skubal 19%
Garrett Crochet 15%
Jacob deGrom 12%
Max Fried 9.6%
Tarik Skubal
25%
Garrett Crochet
11%
Jacob deGrom
12%
Cole Ragans
7%
Hunter Brown
5%
Max Fried
10%
Bryan Woo
8%
Logan Gilbert
7%
Kyle Bradish
6%
Joe Ryan
6%
Ranger Suarez
6%
Nathan Eovaldi
6%
Dylan Cease
14%
George Kirby
12%
Carlos Rodón
5%
Kevin Gausman
5%
MacKenzie Gore
6%
Jose Soriano
5%
Pablo Lopez
6%
Gavin Williams
6%
Bryce Miller
5%
Cam Schlittler
5%
Gerrit Cole
5%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tarik Skubal tops trader consensus at 25% implied probability for the 2026 AL Cy Young, buoyed by his 2024 award-winning campaign—leading the league in innings pitched, ERA, and strikeouts with the Tigers—showcasing elite durability and lefty dominance at age 29. Dylan Cease edges challengers with high-velocity heat and top-tier K/9 rates, though control remains a differentiator after his Padres move. George Kirby's pinpoint command yields low WHIP marks for Mariners stability, while Jacob deGrom's pedigree persists despite injury risks at 38. Garrett Crochet's breakout stuff intrigues but faces workload questions post-2024 limits; the field's depth reflects youth, health uncertainties, and potential free-agent shifts among contenders like Max Fried.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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