Trader consensus for the 2026 NL Cy Young hinges on a cluster of high-upside young power pitchers, with Paul Skenes atop at 26% implied probability after his electric 2024 rookie campaign featuring 170 strikeouts in 133 innings for Pittsburgh. Hunter Greene (22.9%) and teammate Mitch Keller (22.8%) ride velocity surges and Pirates' rotation investments, while Brewers prospect Jacob Misiorowski (20.6%) surges on reports of 101-mph heat in minors, injecting debut volatility. Cristopher Sanchez's breakout (16%) rounds the top tier amid Phillies' contender boost. This tightness stems from shared traits—triple-digit fastballs, whiff rates—but uncertainties like innings limits, health (e.g., post-Tommy John recoveries for Strider, Woodruff), and 2025 rotations keep no frontrunner dominant in the wisdom of crowds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedPaul Skenes 23%
Cristopher Sanchez 16%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 9%
Freddy Peralta 6.0%
Paul Skenes
26%
Cristopher Sanchez
16%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
8%
Freddy Peralta
6%
Chris Sale
9%
Hunter Greene
23%
Blake Snell
5%
Tyler Glasnow
5%
Nick Lodolo
5%
Eury Perez
6%
Zack Wheeler
6%
Jacob Misiorowski
21%
Logan Webb
2%
Shohei Ohtani
7%
Nolan McLean
6%
Spencer Strider
6%
Jesus Luzardo
6%
Nick Pivetta
6%
Brandon Woodruff
6%
Michael King
1%
Spencer Schwellenbach
1%
Mitch Keller
23%
Paul Skenes 23%
Cristopher Sanchez 16%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 9%
Freddy Peralta 6.0%
Paul Skenes
26%
Cristopher Sanchez
16%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
8%
Freddy Peralta
6%
Chris Sale
9%
Hunter Greene
23%
Blake Snell
5%
Tyler Glasnow
5%
Nick Lodolo
5%
Eury Perez
6%
Zack Wheeler
6%
Jacob Misiorowski
21%
Logan Webb
2%
Shohei Ohtani
7%
Nolan McLean
6%
Spencer Strider
6%
Jesus Luzardo
6%
Nick Pivetta
6%
Brandon Woodruff
6%
Michael King
1%
Spencer Schwellenbach
1%
Mitch Keller
23%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for the 2026 NL Cy Young hinges on a cluster of high-upside young power pitchers, with Paul Skenes atop at 26% implied probability after his electric 2024 rookie campaign featuring 170 strikeouts in 133 innings for Pittsburgh. Hunter Greene (22.9%) and teammate Mitch Keller (22.8%) ride velocity surges and Pirates' rotation investments, while Brewers prospect Jacob Misiorowski (20.6%) surges on reports of 101-mph heat in minors, injecting debut volatility. Cristopher Sanchez's breakout (16%) rounds the top tier amid Phillies' contender boost. This tightness stems from shared traits—triple-digit fastballs, whiff rates—but uncertainties like innings limits, health (e.g., post-Tommy John recoveries for Strider, Woodruff), and 2025 rotations keep no frontrunner dominant in the wisdom of crowds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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