Trader consensus for Bolivia's La Paz Governor election centers on a tight duel between Luis Antonio Revilla (41.8%) and Felix Patzi (36.4%), mirroring recent polls showing Revilla's narrow lead amid urban-rural divides. Revilla, La Paz's incumbent mayor from the Soberanía alliance, draws strength from city voters via infrastructure gains and anti-corruption messaging, while ex-governor Patzi leverages highland indigenous networks and autonomy pledges through Jallalla. The race stays close due to fragmented opposition—Santos Quispe and Richard Gómez siphoning Aymara votes—and MAS party infighting spilling locally. Separation could arise from national leader endorsements, final debates, or rural turnout shifts before the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLa Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)
La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)
Luis Antonio Revilla 48.1%
Felix Patzi 19.3%
Richard Andrés Gómez 6.6%
René Yahuasi Calamani 6.2%
$21,034 Vol.
$21,034 Vol.
Luis Antonio Revilla
42%
Felix Patzi
36%
Richard Andrés Gómez
7%
René Yahuasi Calamani
6%
Santos Quispe Quispe
5%
Gualberto Cusi
1%
Demetrio Villca
1%
Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer
1%
Rafael Quispe Flores
<1%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas
<1%
Orlando Callisaya
<1%
Germán Riveros
<1%
Clemente Gutiérrez
<1%
Fidel Chura
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
<1%
Luis Antonio Revilla 48.1%
Felix Patzi 19.3%
Richard Andrés Gómez 6.6%
René Yahuasi Calamani 6.2%
$21,034 Vol.
$21,034 Vol.
Luis Antonio Revilla
42%
Felix Patzi
36%
Richard Andrés Gómez
7%
René Yahuasi Calamani
6%
Santos Quispe Quispe
5%
Gualberto Cusi
1%
Demetrio Villca
1%
Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer
1%
Rafael Quispe Flores
<1%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas
<1%
Orlando Callisaya
<1%
Germán Riveros
<1%
Clemente Gutiérrez
<1%
Fidel Chura
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Market Opened: Jan 20, 2026, 11:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus for Bolivia's La Paz Governor election centers on a tight duel between Luis Antonio Revilla (41.8%) and Felix Patzi (36.4%), mirroring recent polls showing Revilla's narrow lead amid urban-rural divides. Revilla, La Paz's incumbent mayor from the Soberanía alliance, draws strength from city voters via infrastructure gains and anti-corruption messaging, while ex-governor Patzi leverages highland indigenous networks and autonomy pledges through Jallalla. The race stays close due to fragmented opposition—Santos Quispe and Richard Gómez siphoning Aymara votes—and MAS party infighting spilling locally. Separation could arise from national leader endorsements, final debates, or rural turnout shifts before the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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