Official results from Colombia's recent Chamber of Representatives special election have propelled Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) to a commanding 99.7% implied probability among traders, reflecting its decisive victory in securing the contested seat with a substantial vote margin. Primary drivers include the National Civil Registry's certification of tallies, where PH outperformed rivals like Partido Liberal Colombiano and Centro Democrático amid high turnout in the district. Trader sentiment underscores the wisdom of crowds in pricing near-certainty post-ballot count, with minimal shifts since announcement. Realistic challenges remain slim but could arise from formal recounts, electoral tribunal appeals, or proven irregularities, though no credible disputes have emerged to date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedColombia Chamber of Representatives Election Winner
Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election Winner
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) 99.6%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) <1%
Centro Democrático (CD) <1%
Cambio Radical (CR) <1%
$5,244,719 Vol.
$5,244,719 Vol.
Mar 8, 2026
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)
100%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
<1%
Centro Democrático (CD)
<1%
Cambio Radical (CR)
<1%
Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)
<1%
Green Alliance
<1%
Partido de la U (La U)
<1%
MIRA‑CJL coalition (MIRA‑CJL)
<1%
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) 99.6%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) <1%
Centro Democrático (CD) <1%
Cambio Radical (CR) <1%
$5,244,719 Vol.
$5,244,719 Vol.
Mar 8, 2026
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)
$373,907 Vol.
100%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
$153,162 Vol.
<1%
Centro Democrático (CD)
$183,395 Vol.
<1%
Cambio Radical (CR)
$2,297,752 Vol.
<1%
Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)
$157,385 Vol.
<1%
Green Alliance
$30,560 Vol.
<1%
Partido de la U (La U)
$973,145 Vol.
<1%
MIRA‑CJL coalition (MIRA‑CJL)
$1,075,412 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
Volume
$5,244,719End Date
Mar 8, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.
If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$5,244,719End Date
Mar 8, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Official results from Colombia's recent Chamber of Representatives special election have propelled Historic Pact for Colombia (PH) to a commanding 99.7% implied probability among traders, reflecting its decisive victory in securing the contested seat with a substantial vote margin. Primary drivers include the National Civil Registry's certification of tallies, where PH outperformed rivals like Partido Liberal Colombiano and Centro Democrático amid high turnout in the district. Trader sentiment underscores the wisdom of crowds in pricing near-certainty post-ballot count, with minimal shifts since announcement. Realistic challenges remain slim but could arise from formal recounts, electoral tribunal appeals, or proven irregularities, though no credible disputes have emerged to date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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