Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Claude by Anthropic at 67.5% implied probability for the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on March 24, driven by its explosive post-launch surge after debuting on March 20. Analytics from Sensor Tower and Appfigures confirm Claude hit #2 that Sunday, sandwiched between TikTok (#1) and Temu (#3), outpacing AI rival ChatGPT (now 6.5%). NCAA March Madness Live (18.1%) and CBS Sports (14.9%) gained traction amid the basketball tournament's peak, but daily charts place them lower. Freecash's reward model drew niche bets at 10.6%, yet verified rankings solidify Claude's lead, with traders eyeing official Apple data for resolution amid minor data discrepancies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedClaude by Anthropic 68%
CBS Sports App: Scores & News 14.6%
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money 10.6%
NCAA March Madness Live 9.4%

Claude by Anthropic
68%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News
15%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
11%

NCAA March Madness Live
17%

ChatGPT
7%

ESPN Tournament Challenge
4%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
2%

Google Gemini
2%
Claude by Anthropic 68%
CBS Sports App: Scores & News 14.6%
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money 10.6%
NCAA March Madness Live 9.4%

Claude by Anthropic
68%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News
15%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
11%

NCAA March Madness Live
17%

ChatGPT
7%

ESPN Tournament Challenge
4%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
2%

Google Gemini
2%
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Claude by Anthropic at 67.5% implied probability for the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on March 24, driven by its explosive post-launch surge after debuting on March 20. Analytics from Sensor Tower and Appfigures confirm Claude hit #2 that Sunday, sandwiched between TikTok (#1) and Temu (#3), outpacing AI rival ChatGPT (now 6.5%). NCAA March Madness Live (18.1%) and CBS Sports (14.9%) gained traction amid the basketball tournament's peak, but daily charts place them lower. Freecash's reward model drew niche bets at 10.6%, yet verified rankings solidify Claude's lead, with traders eyeing official Apple data for resolution amid minor data discrepancies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions