ChatGPT holds an overwhelming 84% implied probability of claiming the #1 free app spot in the US Apple App Store on March 24, driven by its explosive download surge amid the generative AI boom and recent iOS optimizations for voice interactions and image generation. This positions it ahead of CBS Sports App (6%), boosted by NCAA March Madness live scores during tournament peak but vulnerable to waning interest post-Elite Eight. Freecash (3%) appeals via cash rewards amid economic pressures, while Google Gemini (2.5%) and Anthropic's Claude (2%) ride AI hype from fresh launches, though lacking ChatGPT's entrenched user base. Daily rankings fluctuate with viral shares and promotions, per App Store analytics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedChatGPT 83%
CBS Sports App: Scores & News 5.6%
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money 2.8%
Google Gemini 2.5%

ChatGPT
83%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News
6%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
3%

Google Gemini
3%

Claude by Anthropic
2%

ESPN Tournament Challenge
1%

NCAA March Madness Live
1%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
<1%
ChatGPT 83%
CBS Sports App: Scores & News 5.6%
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money 2.8%
Google Gemini 2.5%

ChatGPT
83%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News
6%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
3%

Google Gemini
3%

Claude by Anthropic
2%

ESPN Tournament Challenge
1%

NCAA March Madness Live
1%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
<1%
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...ChatGPT holds an overwhelming 84% implied probability of claiming the #1 free app spot in the US Apple App Store on March 24, driven by its explosive download surge amid the generative AI boom and recent iOS optimizations for voice interactions and image generation. This positions it ahead of CBS Sports App (6%), boosted by NCAA March Madness live scores during tournament peak but vulnerable to waning interest post-Elite Eight. Freecash (3%) appeals via cash rewards amid economic pressures, while Google Gemini (2.5%) and Anthropic's Claude (2%) ride AI hype from fresh launches, though lacking ChatGPT's entrenched user base. Daily rankings fluctuate with viral shares and promotions, per App Store analytics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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