#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?

Name: #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
Start: 2026-03-17T01:40:58.958Z
End: 2026-03-20T00:00:00.000Z

Tech·App Store

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?

Mar 20

NCAA March Madness Live 70%

ChatGPT 28%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News 2.6%

Claude by Anthropic 1.0%

NEW

$52,847 Vol.

NEW

$52,847 Vol.

Mar 20, 2026

NCAA March Madness Live

$19,276 Vol.

70%

ChatGPT

$4,461 Vol.

28%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News

$1,201 Vol.

Claude by Anthropic

$1,663 Vol.

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money

$8,721 Vol.

Google Gemini

$2,912 Vol.

<1%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

$1,558 Vol.

<1%

Threads

$13,057 Vol.

<1%

NCAA March Madness Live 70%

ChatGPT 28%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News 2.6%

Claude by Anthropic 1.0%

NEW

$52,847 Vol.

NEW

$52,847 Vol.

Mar 20, 2026

NCAA March Madness Live

$19,276 Vol.

70%

ChatGPT

$4,461 Vol.

28%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News

$1,201 Vol.

Claude by Anthropic

$1,663 Vol.

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money

$8,721 Vol.

Google Gemini

$2,912 Vol.

<1%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

$1,558 Vol.

<1%

Threads

$13,057 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Trader consensus crowns NCAA March Madness Live as the frontrunner at 67.5% implied probability for #1 free US Apple App Store spot on March 20, fueled by explosive bracket hype following Selection Sunday on March 17 and first-round games tipping off March 21. Historical tournament surges routinely vault the official NCAA app to the top amid fan frenzy for live scores and streams, outpacing ChatGPT's steady 27.5% hold buoyed by AI cultural dominance but no matching event catalyst. CBS Sports App at 2.5% gains minor traction as a scores companion, while fringe bets like Claude (1.1%) and Freecash (1.1%) fade against basketball mania; traders eye evening download spikes pre-tipoff for final shifts.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 18, 2026, 7:16 PM UTC

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77%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "NCAA March Madness Live" at 70%, followed by "ChatGPT" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?" has generated $52.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?" is "NCAA March Madness Live" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ChatGPT" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $52.8K traded on “#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 70¢ for "NCAA March Madness Live" in the "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 70% chance that "NCAA March Madness Live" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 70¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 30¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Mar 20, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?" market has an active community of 247 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?

Rules

Market Context

Market Context

Related

Comments (247)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?"?

What are the current odds for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?"?

How will "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?" be resolved?

Can I follow "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?"?

What does a price of 70¢ for "NCAA March Madness Live" mean?

When does the "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?" market close?

What are traders saying about "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?"?

What is Polymarket?