New York City Mayoral Election

Zohran Mamdani

87%

Andrew Cuomo

11%

Eric Adams

Curtis Sliwa

<1%

Brad Lander

<1%

Zohran Mamdani

87%

Andrew Cuomo

11%

Eric Adams

Curtis Sliwa

<1%

Brad Lander

<1%

$80m Vol.

Fed decision in October?

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

86%

No change

11%

25+ bps increase

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

86%

No change

11%

25+ bps increase

$13m Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Buffalo

17%

Baltimore

15%

Philadelphia

13%

Green Bay

11%

Kansas City

Buffalo

17%

Baltimore

15%

Philadelphia

13%

Green Bay

11%

Kansas City

$61m Vol.

What will Trump say at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?

Charlie / Kirk 15+ times

71%

Beautiful wife / Wonderful wife

68%

MAGA / Make America Great Again

62%

Crazy

54%

Turning Point

86%

Charlie / Kirk 15+ times

71%

Beautiful wife / Wonderful wife

68%

MAGA / Make America Great Again

62%

Crazy

54%

Turning Point

86%

$273k Vol.

Phillies

50%

Diamondbacks

51%

Live

$2m Vol.

•MLB

Cardinals

49%

49ers

52%

Live

$2m Vol.

•NFL

Broncos

38%

Chargers

63%

Live

$1m Vol.

•NFL

Giants

51%

Dodgers

50%

Live

$1m Vol.

•MLB

Will Eric Adams drop out?

56%

chance

$2m Vol.

Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?

73%

chance

$148k Vol.

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

13%

chance

$679k Vol.

TikTok sale announced by...?

September 30

20%

October 31

55%

December 31

79%

September 30

20%

October 31

55%

December 31

79%

$975k Vol.

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

September 30

October 31

18%

December 31

32%

September 30

October 31

18%

December 31

32%

$1m Vol.

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

chance

$10m Vol.

Jimmy Kimmel back on air by...?

September 30

23%

October 15

34%

December 31

69%

September 30

23%

October 15

34%

December 31

69%

$97k Vol.

Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?

chance

$54k Vol.

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

61%

1-100

18%

101-1k

1k-2.5k

2.5k-5k

61%

1-100

18%

101-1k

1k-2.5k

2.5k-5k

$3m Vol.

David Friedberg

Who will Trump meet with in 2025?

Xi Jinping

94%

Abdel Fattah El-Sisi

74%

Lula da Silva

40%

Pope Leo XIV

22%

Kim Jong Un

17%

Xi Jinping

94%

Abdel Fattah El-Sisi

74%

Lula da Silva

40%

Pope Leo XIV

22%

Kim Jong Un

17%

$3m Vol.

Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?

chance

$631k Vol.

US government shutdown in 2025?

67%

chance

$2m Vol.

Who will acquire TikTok?

Larry Ellison/Oracle

85%

Microsoft

10%

AppLovin

Meta

Elon Musk / X (Twitter)

$233k Vol.

Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?

24%

chance

$86k Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

14%

chance

$20m Vol.

Will Trump meet with Putin again by...?

September 30

October 31

17%

December 31

28%

September 30

October 31

17%

December 31

28%

$875k Vol.

FISSURE Playground 2

FURIA

100%

The MongolZ

Other

<1%

FURIA

100%

The MongolZ

Other

<1%

$583k Vol.

Ballon d'Or Winner 2025

Ousmane Dembele

84%

Lamine Yamal

13%

Raphinha

Vitinha

Mohamed Salah

<1%

Ousmane Dembele

84%

Lamine Yamal

13%

Raphinha

Vitinha

Mohamed Salah

<1%

$19m Vol.

F1 Drivers Champion

Oscar Piastri

66%

Lando Norris

26%

Max Verstappen

George Russell

<1%

Charles Leclerc

<1%

Oscar Piastri

66%

Lando Norris

26%

Max Verstappen

George Russell

<1%

Charles Leclerc

<1%

$107m Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

52%

Marco Rubio

Donald Trump

Tucker Carlson

Ron DeSantis

J.D. Vance

52%

Marco Rubio

Donald Trump

Tucker Carlson

Ron DeSantis

$15m Vol.

English Premier League Winner

Liverpool

45%

Arsenal

33%

Man City

14%

Chelsea

Tottenham

Liverpool

45%

Arsenal

33%

Man City

14%

Chelsea

Tottenham

$20m Vol.

What price will Ethereum hit in September?

↑ 5000

13%

↑ 4800

39%

↓ 4200

44%

↓ 4000

17%

↓ 3800

↑ 5000

13%

↑ 4800

39%

↓ 4200

44%

↓ 4000

17%

↓ 3800

$6m Vol.

Ireland Presidential Election

Jim Gavin

37%

Heather Humphreys

33%

Catherine Connolly

23%

Maria Steen

Conor McGregor

Jim Gavin

37%

Heather Humphreys

33%

Catherine Connolly

23%

Maria Steen

Conor McGregor

$5m Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

36%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

12%

Pete Buttigieg

Wes Moore

Jon Ossoff

Gavin Newsom

36%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

12%

Pete Buttigieg

Wes Moore

Jon Ossoff

$42m Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in September?

↑ 125k

↑ 120k

34%

↓ 107k

13%

↓ 105k

↓ 103k

↑ 125k

↑ 120k

34%

↓ 107k

13%

↓ 105k

↓ 103k

$15m Vol.

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

30%

chance

$9m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

27%

Gavin Newsom

21%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Marco Rubio

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

JD Vance

27%

Gavin Newsom

21%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Marco Rubio

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$21m Vol.

Elon Musk musk # tweets September 19 - September 26, 2025?

180-199

13%

200-219

19%

220-239

19%

240-259

14%

260-279

11%

180-199

13%

200-219

19%

220-239

19%

240-259

14%

260-279

11%

$575k Vol.

Packers

Browns

100%

$1m Vol.

•NFL• 5:00 PM

Bengals

Vikings

100%

$2m Vol.

•NFL• 5:00 PM

Jets

Buccaneers

100%

$1m Vol.

•NFL• 5:00 PM

Texans

Jaguars

100%

$2m Vol.

•NFL• 5:00 PM

•

•

•

•