Canada

Bank of Canada decision in March?

No change

98%

Yes98%No2%

25 bps decrease

Yes2%No98%

$167K Vol.

Oscars 2026
Predictions

Quebec General Election Winner

62%

Yes62%No38%

PLQ

26%

Yes26%No74%

$199K Vol.

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Avi Lewis

85%

Yes85%No15%

Heather McPherson

11%

Yes11%No89%

$51K Vol.

Bank of Canada decision in April?

No change

87%

Yes87%No13%

25 bps decrease

Yes8%No92%

$12K Vol.

Canada recession before 2027?

35%

chance

Yes

$43K Vol.

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

93%

chance

Yes

$120K Vol.

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

49%

chance

Yes

$81K Vol.

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

chance

Yes

$34K Vol.

Another Canada election called by June 30?

chance

Yes

$68K Vol.

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

35%

chance

Yes

$31K Vol.

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

23%

chance

Yes

$111K Vol.

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

chance

Yes

NEW

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

13%

chance

Yes

NEW

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

13%

chance

Yes

$29K Vol.

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

39%

chance

Yes

NEW

Will Alberta join the US?

chance

Yes

NEW

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

↓1.33

Yes91%No9%

↑1.39

55%

Yes55%No45%

NEW

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

42%

chance

Yes

NEW

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

50%

Down

NEW

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

chance

Yes

NEW

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Canada

Bank of Canada decision in March?

No change

98%

Yes98%No2%

25 bps decrease

Yes2%No98%

$167K Vol.

Oscars 2026
Predictions

Quebec General Election Winner

62%

Yes62%No38%

PLQ

26%

Yes26%No74%

$199K Vol.

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Avi Lewis

85%

Yes85%No15%

Heather McPherson

11%

Yes11%No89%

$51K Vol.

Bank of Canada decision in April?

No change

87%

Yes87%No13%

25 bps decrease

Yes8%No92%

$12K Vol.

Canada recession before 2027?

35%

chance

Yes

$43K Vol.

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

93%

chance

Yes

$120K Vol.

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

49%

chance

Yes

$81K Vol.

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

chance

Yes

$34K Vol.

Another Canada election called by June 30?

chance

Yes

$68K Vol.

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

35%

chance

Yes

$31K Vol.

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

23%

chance

Yes

$111K Vol.

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

chance

Yes

NEW

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

13%

chance

Yes

NEW

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

13%

chance

Yes

$29K Vol.

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

39%

chance

Yes

NEW

Will Alberta join the US?

chance

Yes

NEW

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

↓1.33

Yes91%No9%

↑1.39

55%

Yes55%No45%

NEW

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

42%

chance

Yes

NEW

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

50%

Down

NEW

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

chance

Yes

NEW

Canada Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Canada

Bank of Canada decision in March?

Oscars 2026Predictions

Quebec General Election Winner

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Bank of Canada decision in April?

Canada recession before 2027?

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

Another Canada election called by June 30?

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

Will Alberta join the US?

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Canada

Bank of Canada decision in March?

Oscars 2026Predictions

Quebec General Election Winner

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Bank of Canada decision in April?

Canada recession before 2027?

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

Another Canada election called by June 30?

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

Will Alberta join the US?

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Oscars 2026
Predictions

Oscars 2026
Predictions