OpenAI Odds &amp; Predictions | Polymarket

$8M Vol.

Monthly

Oscars 2026
Predictions

Which company has the second best AI model end of March?

Anthropic

87%

Google

Yes4%No96%

$281K Vol.

Monthly

$Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31? card icon$

Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?

OpenAI

93%

Yes93%No7%

DeepSeek

Yes3%No97%

$288K Vol.

Monthly

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX

87%

Anthropic

Yes7%No93%

$947K Vol.

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

OpenAI

88%

Yes88%No12%

Anthropic

$657K Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Anthropic

49%

Yes49%No51%

Google

32%

$2M Vol.

Monthly

Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Anthropic

83%

Yes83%No17%

xAI

$219K Vol.

Daily

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Anthropic

77%

Yes77%No23%

xAI

12%

Yes12%No88%

$376K Vol.

Monthly

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Anthropic

36%

Yes36%No64%

Google

28%

Yes28%No72%

$844K Vol.

Monthly

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 2026

32%

March 31, 2026

Yes2%No98%

$177K Vol.

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

12%

chance

Yes

$36K Vol.

Monthly

Which company has the third best AI model end of March?

Google

84%

Yes84%No16%

xAI

$122K Vol.

Daily

GPT-6 released by…?

December 31, 2026

79%

Yes79%No21%

September 30, 2026

73%

Yes73%No27%

$326K Vol.

Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

xAI

61%

Yes61%No39%

Google

22%

Yes22%No78%

$54K Vol.

Daily

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by December 31, 2026

62%

Yes62%No38%

750B–1T

11%

Yes11%No89%

$1M Vol.

GPT-5.5 released by...?

June 30

90%

Yes90%No10%

April 30

68%

Yes68%No32%

$277K Vol.

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$800B

64%

Yes64%No36%

$1T

44%

Yes44%No56%

$54K Vol.

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...? card icon

Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?

41%

chance

Yes

NEW

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

22%

chance

Yes

$234K Vol.

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 15?

chance

Yes

NEW

Monthly

All

Elon Musk

App Store

SpaceX

Apple

IPOs

Science

OpenAI

MicroStrategy

Big Tech

TikTok

Prediction Markets

OpenAI

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

Anthropic

89%

Yes89%No11%

Google

$8M Vol.

Monthly

Oscars 2026
Predictions

Which company has the second best AI model end of March?

Anthropic

87%

Google

Yes4%No96%

$281K Vol.

Monthly

$Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31? card icon$

Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?

OpenAI

93%

Yes93%No7%

DeepSeek

Yes3%No97%

$288K Vol.

Monthly

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX

87%

Anthropic

Yes7%No93%

$947K Vol.

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

OpenAI

88%

Yes88%No12%

Anthropic

$657K Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Anthropic

49%

Yes49%No51%

Google

32%

$2M Vol.

Monthly

Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Anthropic

83%

Yes83%No17%

xAI

$219K Vol.

Daily

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Anthropic

77%

Yes77%No23%

xAI

12%

Yes12%No88%

$376K Vol.

Monthly

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Anthropic

36%

Yes36%No64%

Google

28%

Yes28%No72%

$844K Vol.

Monthly

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 2026

32%

March 31, 2026

Yes2%No98%

$177K Vol.

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

12%

chance

Yes

$36K Vol.

Monthly

Which company has the third best AI model end of March?

Google

84%

Yes84%No16%

xAI