Fed decision in March?
Fed Rates·Politics

Fed decision in March?

100%

No change

$376M Vol.

$18M today

$31M Liq.

418

Ends in 4 days

Fed decision in April?
Fed Rates·Politics

Fed decision in April?

92%

No change

$7M Vol.

$399K today

$757K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Fed Rates·Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

31%

1 (25 bps)

$9M Vol.

$211K today

$953K Liq.

35

Ends in 10 months

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)
Fed Rates·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

57%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$688K Vol.

$99.7K today

$162K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
Fed Rates·Finance

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

100%

Cut–Pause–Pause

$2M Vol.

$64.8K today

$160K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 days

Fed Decision in June?
Fed Rates·Politics

Fed Decision in June?

61%

No change

$1M Vol.

$419K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)
Fed Rates·Fed

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

90%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$166K Vol.

$138K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Fed rate hike in 2026?
Fed Rates·Fed

Fed rate hike in 2026?

13%

$162K Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
Fed Rates·Politics

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

60%

2

$26.8K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates
Fed Rates·Finance

Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates

98%

$56.2K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 6 days

Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?
Fed Rates·Fed

Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?

97%

$17.8K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 4 days

Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?
Fed Rates·Fed

Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?

77%

$3.9K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___  by March 31?
Fed Rates·Politics

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

-

$0 Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Fed Rates·Politics

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

95%

Kevin Warsh

$6M Vol.

$522K today

$2M Liq.

56

Ends in 8 months

Fed rate cut by...?
Fed Rates·Finance

Fed rate cut by...?

75%

October Meeting

$2M Vol.

$259K Liq.

11

Ends in 3 months

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Fed Rates·Politics

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

26%

3.5%

$1M Vol.

$219K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
Fed Rates·Politics

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

5%

$27.3K Vol.

$47.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
Fed Rates·Politics

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

1%

May 14

$2M Vol.

$139K Liq.

35

Ends in 2 months

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
Fed Rates·Politics

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

72%

December 31

$53.7K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

7

Ends in 10 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
Fed Rates·Politics

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

85%

↓ 3.25%

$679K Vol.

$231K Liq.

3

Ends in 10 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Fed Rates.

Polymarket currently hosts 136 active markets for Fed Rates that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Fed decision in March?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $408.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decision in March?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed decision in March?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Fed Rates predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.