Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47

25%

Yes25%No75%

18%

Yes18%No82%

$787K Vol.

Oscars 2026
Predictions

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

John Kennedy

98%

Yes98%No2%

Kevin Cramer

88%

Yes88%No12%

$65K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Republicans 2-4%

32%

Yes32%No68%

Democrats 6-8%

31%

Yes31%No69%

$25K Vol.

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?

chance

Yes

$46K Vol.

H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?

June 30

Yes7%No93%

March 31

Yes1%No99%

$34K Vol.

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

Yes9%No91%

18%

Yes18%No82%

NEW

Monthly

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

chance

Yes

$15K Vol.

Bill Clinton charged by March 31?

chance

Yes

$46K Vol.

Monthly

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

75%

chance

Yes

NEW

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

7-9

Yes<1%No100%

23%

Yes23%No77%

$40K Vol.

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

14%

chance

Yes

$110K Vol.

Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?

chance

Yes

NEW

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

chance

Yes

$158K Vol.

Monthly

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

36–39

42%

Yes42%No58%

40–43

22%

Yes22%No78%

$14K Vol.

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

42%

chance

Yes

$102K Vol.

Blue wave in 2026?

74%

chance

Yes

$23K Vol.

Blue tsunami in 2026?

46%

chance

Yes

$19K Vol.

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

chance

Yes

$22K Vol.

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

22%

Yes22%No78%

36%

Yes36%No64%

NEW

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Chuck Schumer

Yes40%No60%

Rand Paul

Yes50%No50%

NEW

Congress

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47

25%

Yes25%No75%

18%

Yes18%No82%

$787K Vol.

Oscars 2026
Predictions

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

John Kennedy

98%

Yes98%No2%

Kevin Cramer

88%

Yes88%No12%

$65K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Republicans 2-4%

32%

Yes32%No68%

Democrats 6-8%

31%

Yes31%No69%

$25K Vol.

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?

chance

Yes

$46K Vol.

H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?

June 30

Yes7%No93%

March 31

Yes1%No99%

$34K Vol.

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

Yes9%No91%

18%

Yes18%No82%

NEW

Monthly

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

chance

Yes

$15K Vol.

Bill Clinton charged by March 31?

chance

Yes

$46K Vol.

Monthly

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

75%

chance

Yes

NEW

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

7-9

Yes<1%No100%

23%

Yes23%No77%

$40K Vol.

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

14%

chance

Yes

$110K Vol.

Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?

chance

Yes

NEW

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

chance

Yes

$158K Vol.

Monthly

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

36–39

42%

Yes42%No58%

40–43

22%

Yes22%No78%

$14K Vol.

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

42%

chance

Yes

$102K Vol.

Blue wave in 2026?

74%

chance

Yes

$23K Vol.

Blue tsunami in 2026?

46%

chance

Yes

$19K Vol.

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

chance

Yes

$22K Vol.

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

22%

Yes22%No78%

36%

Yes36%No64%

NEW

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Chuck Schumer

Yes40%No60%

Rand Paul

Yes50%No50%

NEW

Congress Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Congress

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Oscars 2026Predictions

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?

H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Bill Clinton charged by March 31?

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Blue wave in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Congress

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Oscars 2026Predictions

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?

H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Bill Clinton charged by March 31?

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Blue wave in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Oscars 2026
Predictions

Oscars 2026
Predictions