Market icon
Sports·UEL

UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis

Market icon
Sports·UEL

UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis

NEW
May 8, 2026
Polymarket

$1,733 Vol.

Polymarket

Porto

$0 Vol.

69%

Freiburg

$0 Vol.

51%

Celta

$0 Vol.

51%

Real Betis

$0 Vol.

51%

Aston Villa

$0 Vol.

50%

Braga

$0 Vol.

50%

Nottingham Forest

$0 Vol.

31%

Bologna

$1,733 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,733
End Date
May 8, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 1:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trader consensus in the UEFA Europa League "Team to advance to semis" market favors Premier League sides Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester United, with implied probabilities around 25-30% each, buoyed by their strong league phase form—Tottemham unbeaten atop standings after five wins, Manchester United third with key victories under Ruben Amorim. Porto and Lazio trail as contenders at 10-15%, leveraging European pedigree despite uneven domestic results. Recent developments include Tottenham's high-scoring attack led by Son Heung-min and United's defensive reinforcements, while injuries to Lazio's key midfielders temper optimism. Upcoming final league phase matches and February knockout playoffs will clarify round-of-16 paths, where home advantages and draw luck could spark upsets among the top 24 teams.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Porto" at 69%, followed by "Freiburg" at 51%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis" is "Porto" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Freiburg" at 51%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to semis" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.