Scottie Scheffler's elite ball-striking and red-hot form—highlighted by victories at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and The Players Championship—drive his commanding 17.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite amid a deep Masters field at Augusta National. Rory McIlroy trails at 9.5% buoyed by recent wins in Dubai and the UAE, yet his spotty putting history here tempers enthusiasm for the career grand slam chase. Bryson DeChambeau and Jon Rahm share 6.5%, leveraging prodigious driving distance and Rahm's defending champion pedigree, while Ludvig Aberg's meteoric rise via precise iron play and RSM Classic triumph justifies his 6.3% share. Recent injury reports show no major setbacks, but Augusta's demanding greens and unpredictable winds underscore the field's wide-open volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 18%
Rory McIlroy 10%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
Jon Rahm 6.5%
$50,614,941 Vol.
$50,614,941 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
18%
Rory McIlroy
10%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Jon Rahm
6%
Ludvig Aberg
6%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Xander Schauffele
4%
Justin Rose
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Cameron Young
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Sergio Garcia
1%
Davis Thompson
1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 18%
Rory McIlroy 10%
Bryson Dechambeau 7%
Jon Rahm 6.5%
$50,614,941 Vol.
$50,614,941 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
18%
Rory McIlroy
10%
Bryson Dechambeau
7%
Jon Rahm
6%
Ludvig Aberg
6%
Tommy Fleetwood
4%
Xander Schauffele
4%
Justin Rose
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Cameron Young
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Justin Thomas
2%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Thomas Detry
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Sergio Garcia
1%
Davis Thompson
1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's elite ball-striking and red-hot form—highlighted by victories at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and The Players Championship—drive his commanding 17.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite amid a deep Masters field at Augusta National. Rory McIlroy trails at 9.5% buoyed by recent wins in Dubai and the UAE, yet his spotty putting history here tempers enthusiasm for the career grand slam chase. Bryson DeChambeau and Jon Rahm share 6.5%, leveraging prodigious driving distance and Rahm's defending champion pedigree, while Ludvig Aberg's meteoric rise via precise iron play and RSM Classic triumph justifies his 6.3% share. Recent injury reports show no major setbacks, but Augusta's demanding greens and unpredictable winds underscore the field's wide-open volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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