Trader consensus for 2026 MLB regular season win totals centers on blockbuster offseason signings reshaping contender landscapes, with the Dodgers projected highest after retaining Shohei Ohtani and their championship core, implying 95+ wins. The Mets surged following Juan Soto's record 15-year, $765 million pact alongside Lindor and Alonso, vaulting them into elite territory around 92 wins, while Yankees' addition of Max Fried offsets Soto's departure for a solid 90-win floor. Rebuilders like the White Sox eye sub-65 totals amid farm system overhauls. Momentum from 2025 results, prospect promotions such as top draft picks, and trade deadline deals will refine these probabilities, underscoring baseball's volatility where mid-market clubs often exceed projections via pitching breakouts or hot streaks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNEW
Oct 5, 2026
New York Yankees
70%
Boston Red Sox
39%
Toronto Blue Jays
45%
Baltimore Orioles
41%
Tampa Bay Rays
60%
Detroit Tigers
38%
Kansas City Royals
63%
Minnesota Twins
28%
Cleveland Guardians
41%
Chicago White Sox
47%
Seattle Mariners
54%
Texas Rangers
38%
Houston Astros
42%
Athletics
65%
Los Angeles Angels
60%
Atlanta Braves
61%
New York Mets
39%
Philadelphia Phillies
39%
Miami Marlins
60%
Washington Nationals
60%
Chicago Cubs
39%
Pittsburgh Pirates
51%
Milwaukee Brewers
41%
Cincinnati Reds
37%
St. Louis Cardinals
65%
Los Angeles Dodgers
43%
San Francisco Giants
61%
Arizona Diamondbacks
50%
San Diego Padres
39%
Colorado Rockies
19%
$6 Vol.
New York Yankees
$0 Vol.
70%
Boston Red Sox
$0 Vol.
39%
Toronto Blue Jays
$0 Vol.
45%
Baltimore Orioles
$0 Vol.
41%
Tampa Bay Rays
$0 Vol.
60%
Detroit Tigers
$0 Vol.
38%
Kansas City Royals
$0 Vol.
63%
Minnesota Twins
$0 Vol.
28%
Cleveland Guardians
$0 Vol.
41%
Chicago White Sox
$0 Vol.
47%
Seattle Mariners
$0 Vol.
54%
Texas Rangers
$0 Vol.
38%
Houston Astros
$0 Vol.
42%
Athletics
$0 Vol.
65%
Los Angeles Angels
$6 Vol.
60%
Atlanta Braves
$0 Vol.
61%
New York Mets
$0 Vol.
39%
Philadelphia Phillies
$0 Vol.
39%
Miami Marlins
$0 Vol.
60%
Washington Nationals
$0 Vol.
60%
Chicago Cubs
$0 Vol.
39%
Pittsburgh Pirates
$0 Vol.
51%
Milwaukee Brewers
$0 Vol.
41%
Cincinnati Reds
$0 Vol.
37%
St. Louis Cardinals
$0 Vol.
65%
Los Angeles Dodgers
$0 Vol.
43%
San Francisco Giants
$0 Vol.
61%
Arizona Diamondbacks
$0 Vol.
50%
San Diego Padres
$0 Vol.
39%
Colorado Rockies
$0 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to "O 65.5" if the Colorado Rockies win more than 65.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Colorado Rockies to record more than 65.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 65.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 80.5" if the San Diego Padres win more than 80.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the San Diego Padres to record more than 80.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 80.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 81.5" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win more than 81.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Arizona Diamondbacks to record more than 81.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 81.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 82.5" if the San Francisco Giants win more than 82.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the San Francisco Giants to record more than 82.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 82.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 99.5" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Los Angeles Dodgers to record more than 99.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 99.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 75.5" if the St. Louis Cardinals win more than 75.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the St. Louis Cardinals to record more than 75.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 75.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 78.5" if the Cincinnati Reds win more than 78.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Cincinnati Reds to record more than 78.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 78.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 82.5" if the Milwaukee Brewers win more than 82.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Milwaukee Brewers to record more than 82.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 82.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 83.5" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win more than 83.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Pittsburgh Pirates to record more than 83.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 83.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 86.5" if the Chicago Cubs win more than 86.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Chicago Cubs to record more than 86.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 86.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 68.5" if the Washington Nationals win more than 68.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Washington Nationals to record more than 68.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 68.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 74.5" if the Miami Marlins win more than 74.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Miami Marlins to record more than 74.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 74.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 87.5" if the Philadelphia Phillies win more than 87.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Philadelphia Phillies to record more than 87.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 87.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 89.5" if the New York Mets win more than 89.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the New York Mets to record more than 89.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 89.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 90.5" if the Atlanta Braves win more than 90.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Atlanta Braves to record more than 90.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 90.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 72.5" if the Los Angeles Angels win more than 72.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Los Angeles Angels to record more than 72.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 72.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 78.5" if the Athletics win more than 78.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Athletics to record more than 78.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 78.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 80.5" if the Houston Astros win more than 80.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Houston Astros to record more than 80.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 80.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 80.5" if the Texas Rangers win more than 80.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Texas Rangers to record more than 80.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 80.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 88.5" if the Seattle Mariners win more than 88.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Seattle Mariners to record more than 88.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 88.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 67.5" if the Chicago White Sox win more than 67.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Chicago White Sox to record more than 67.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 67.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 75.5" if the Cleveland Guardians win more than 75.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Cleveland Guardians to record more than 75.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 75.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 80.5" if the Minnesota Twins win more than 80.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Minnesota Twins to record more than 80.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 80.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 81.5" if the Kansas City Royals win more than 81.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Kansas City Royals to record more than 81.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 81.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 85.5" if the Detroit Tigers win more than 85.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Detroit Tigers to record more than 85.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 85.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 78.5" if the Tampa Bay Rays win more than 78.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Tampa Bay Rays to record more than 78.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 78.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 84.5" if the Baltimore Orioles win more than 84.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Baltimore Orioles to record more than 84.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 84.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 84.5" if the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Toronto Blue Jays to record more than 84.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 84.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 85.5" if the Boston Red Sox win more than 85.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Boston Red Sox to record more than 85.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 85.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 86.5" if the New York Yankees win more than 86.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the New York Yankees to record more than 86.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 86.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "O 86.5" if the New York Yankees win more than 86.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the New York Yankees to record more than 86.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 86.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 86.5" if the New York Yankees win more than 86.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the New York Yankees to record more than 86.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 86.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the New York Yankees to record more than 86.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 86.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 3, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volume
$6End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.mlb.com/standings/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "O 65.5" if the Colorado Rockies win more than 65.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Colorado Rockies to record more than 65.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 65.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 80.5" if the San Diego Padres win more than 80.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the San Diego Padres to record more than 80.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 80.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 81.5" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win more than 81.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Arizona Diamondbacks to record more than 81.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 81.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 82.5" if the San Francisco Giants win more than 82.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the San Francisco Giants to record more than 82.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 82.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 99.5" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Los Angeles Dodgers to record more than 99.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 99.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 75.5" if the St. Louis Cardinals win more than 75.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the St. Louis Cardinals to record more than 75.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 75.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 78.5" if the Cincinnati Reds win more than 78.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Cincinnati Reds to record more than 78.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 78.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 82.5" if the Milwaukee Brewers win more than 82.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Milwaukee Brewers to record more than 82.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 82.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 83.5" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win more than 83.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Pittsburgh Pirates to record more than 83.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 83.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 86.5" if the Chicago Cubs win more than 86.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Chicago Cubs to record more than 86.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 86.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 68.5" if the Washington Nationals win more than 68.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Washington Nationals to record more than 68.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 68.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 74.5" if the Miami Marlins win more than 74.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Miami Marlins to record more than 74.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 74.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 87.5" if the Philadelphia Phillies win more than 87.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Philadelphia Phillies to record more than 87.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 87.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 89.5" if the New York Mets win more than 89.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the New York Mets to record more than 89.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 89.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 90.5" if the Atlanta Braves win more than 90.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Atlanta Braves to record more than 90.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 90.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 72.5" if the Los Angeles Angels win more than 72.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Los Angeles Angels to record more than 72.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 72.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 78.5" if the Athletics win more than 78.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Athletics to record more than 78.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 78.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 80.5" if the Houston Astros win more than 80.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Houston Astros to record more than 80.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 80.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 80.5" if the Texas Rangers win more than 80.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Texas Rangers to record more than 80.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 80.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 88.5" if the Seattle Mariners win more than 88.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Seattle Mariners to record more than 88.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 88.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 67.5" if the Chicago White Sox win more than 67.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Chicago White Sox to record more than 67.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 67.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 75.5" if the Cleveland Guardians win more than 75.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Cleveland Guardians to record more than 75.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 75.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 80.5" if the Minnesota Twins win more than 80.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Minnesota Twins to record more than 80.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 80.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 81.5" if the Kansas City Royals win more than 81.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Kansas City Royals to record more than 81.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 81.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 85.5" if the Detroit Tigers win more than 85.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Detroit Tigers to record more than 85.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 85.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 78.5" if the Tampa Bay Rays win more than 78.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Tampa Bay Rays to record more than 78.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 78.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 84.5" if the Baltimore Orioles win more than 84.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Baltimore Orioles to record more than 84.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 84.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 84.5" if the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Toronto Blue Jays to record more than 84.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 84.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 85.5" if the Boston Red Sox win more than 85.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Boston Red Sox to record more than 85.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 85.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "O 86.5" if the New York Yankees win more than 86.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the New York Yankees to record more than 86.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 86.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.mlb.com/standings/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus for 2026 MLB regular season win totals centers on blockbuster offseason signings reshaping contender landscapes, with the Dodgers projected highest after retaining Shohei Ohtani and their championship core, implying 95+ wins. The Mets surged following Juan Soto's record 15-year, $765 million pact alongside Lindor and Alonso, vaulting them into elite territory around 92 wins, while Yankees' addition of Max Fried offsets Soto's departure for a solid 90-win floor. Rebuilders like the White Sox eye sub-65 totals amid farm system overhauls. Momentum from 2025 results, prospect promotions such as top draft picks, and trade deadline deals will refine these probabilities, underscoring baseball's volatility where mid-market clubs often exceed projections via pitching breakouts or hot streaks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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