Traders overwhelmingly favor Kanye West's "Bully" under 300k first-week units (83.5% implied probability) due to its surprise SoundCloud drop on August 28 with zero traditional marketing, no physicals, and initial Spotify removal that stifled buzz. HITS Daily Double projects just 20-30k pure sales, with total equivalent album units (EAUs) likely below 100k amid Ye fatigue post-Vultures flops (148k and 72k debuts) and ongoing controversies. Low streaming traction and minimal radio play reinforce trader consensus, though superfans on X keep slim odds alive for 300k-400k (7%). Watch Luminate's Tuesday update for confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedKanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales?
Kanye West 'BULLY' First Week Album Sales?
<300k 84%
300k-400k 8%
700k-800k 3.1%
800k-900k 3.1%
<300k
84%
300k-400k
8%
400k-500k
3%
500k-600k
1%
600k-700k
2%
700k-800k
3%
800k-900k
3%
900k+
1%
<300k 84%
300k-400k 8%
700k-800k 3.1%
800k-900k 3.1%
<300k
84%
300k-400k
8%
400k-500k
3%
500k-600k
1%
600k-700k
2%
700k-800k
3%
800k-900k
3%
900k+
1%
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Market Opened: Mar 18, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly favor Kanye West's "Bully" under 300k first-week units (83.5% implied probability) due to its surprise SoundCloud drop on August 28 with zero traditional marketing, no physicals, and initial Spotify removal that stifled buzz. HITS Daily Double projects just 20-30k pure sales, with total equivalent album units (EAUs) likely below 100k amid Ye fatigue post-Vultures flops (148k and 72k debuts) and ongoing controversies. Low streaming traction and minimal radio play reinforce trader consensus, though superfans on X keep slim odds alive for 300k-400k (7%). Watch Luminate's Tuesday update for confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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