Name: Intervision Winner 2025
Start: 2025-07-29T20:18:43.256724Z
End: 2025-09-20T00:00:00Z

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Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

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Improved in-game view for sports markets.

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The international song competition Intervision 2025 is scheduled to take place at the Live Arena in Novoivanovskoye near the city of Moscow, Russia, on September 20, 2025.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Intervision 2025 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Intervision 2025 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". If two or more countries tie to win Intervision 2025, this market will resolve to the country that comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Intervision, including live footage of Intervision 2025; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Azerbaijan

Belarus

China

Colombia

Cuba

Egypt

India

Kazakhstan

Kyrgyzstan

Qatar

Russia

Saudi Arabia

Serbia

South Africa

Tajikistan

United Arab Emirates

United States

Uzbekistan

Venezuela

Vietnam

Madagascar

Kenya

Ethiopia

Brazil

Intervision Winner 2025

The final list of participating countries for Eurovision 2026 is expected to be officially published by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) in mid-to-late December 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country is included in the earliest official list of participants for the Eurovision Song Contest 2026, as announced by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) or Eurovision by May 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will solely resolve based on the countries mentioned in the first official announcement; subsequent withdrawals or adjustments will not affect the resolution of this market.

If no qualifying list is published by May 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) and Eurovision (e.g., https://eurovision.tv); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Germany participate in Eurovision 2026?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve to according to the if the candidate who wins the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel is officially banned from participating in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement of a qualifying ban within the specified timeframe will suffice, regardless of when it takes effect or whether it is later revoked.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by November 30?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelensky, Elon Musk, Pope Leo XIII, or Yulia Navalnaya are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them, in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners, and the prize is awarded jointly to a listed individual and a listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners, and all recipients are of the same type (e.g. all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Will  Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

The 2025 Irish presidential election must take place by Tuesday, 11 November 2025.

This market will resolve to the individual who wins the next Irish presidential election.

If the result of this election isn't known by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the he Irish Government, specifically the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).

Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the VALORANT Champions 2025 (Also known as VCT Champions). 

If the tournament is postponed after December 31, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), canceled, or a winner has not been declared by that time, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple teams are officially declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2025/Champions.

Will NRG win VALORANT Champions 2025?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Tsentralna Volytsia x Sorokina Volytsia in Ivanopillya, Donetsk Oblast province, by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Ivanopillya+intersection+zoom.png

Intersection Location in Ivanopillya: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Ivanopillya+intersection.png

Ivanopillya Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Ivanopillya.png

Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/YVWkSLgVvzz2PCZ16 

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.

Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by October 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

General elections are scheduled to take place in Côte d'Ivoire on October 25, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ivorian government, specifically the Independent Electoral Commission (Commission Électorale Indépendante, CEI) (https://www.cei.ci/).

Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Siversk railroad station located off of Zaliznychna Vulytsia by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.

The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/siversk+train+station.jpeg

Siversk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/siversk+location.jpeg

Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/WCVn7wGSy1i289Nw8

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.

Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Slovainsk Slov'yans'k-Vitka train station located on Tsentralna Vulytsia by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Train station location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station+zoom.png

Train station Location in Slovyansk: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk+train+station.jpeg

Slovyansk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/slovyansk.jpeg

Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/FnDJ8Xur2CzKvGC76?g_st=isi

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection between Zinenka vulytsia and Ternova vulytsia located in Velykomykhailivka by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

The intersection station will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Velykomykhailivka+intersection.jpeg

Velykomykhailivka location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Velykomykhailivka.jpeg

Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/P5wiqaewp3KVgKWu6

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.


Will Russia capture Velykomykhailivka by October 31?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 23, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Putin out as president of Russia
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Trump visits Russia
- Putin meets Zelensky
- Russia invades a NATO country

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/RU1.png 
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/RU2.png

Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 49.

If Survivor season 49 concludes without a single winner being declared, or if Survivor season 49 has otherwise not concluded by February 28, 2026 ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 49.

Will Savannah Louie win Survivor season 49?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection between T-04-28 and Dniprovskyi provulok located in Novopavlivka by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

The intersection station will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Novopavlivka+intersection.jpeg

Novopavlivka location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Novopavlivka.jpeg

Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/JvQ3C5D59F42QJse6

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.


Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?

If Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy visits Russia between September 3 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Zelenskyy physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Zelenskyy enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of Ukraine, official information from Zelenskyy, or information released by his verified social media accounts; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy visit Russia in 2025?

The 2025 Montreal municipal election is scheduled to be held on November 2, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Montreal.

Will Soraya Martinez Ferrada win the 2025 Montreal mayor election?

The Mr. Olympia competition is presented annually by Olympia Productions to honor outstanding achievements in professional bodybuilding. The 2025 Olympia in Las Vegas is scheduled for October 9–12, 2025, with the Men’s Open finals on October 11, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed bodybuilder who wins the 2025 Mr. Olympia Men’s Open title.

In the event of a tie according to the official IFBB Professional League scoring system, this market will resolve according to the official tie-break procedure used by the judges to determine the winner.

If the listed bodybuilder withdraws or is disqualified before the start of the finals, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Mr. Olympia website (https://mrolympia.com/) and Olympia Productions, including the live broadcast of the event; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Hadi Choopan win Mr. Olympia 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and June 30, 2026, PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces strikes Moscow municipality, or any target within the municipality, between September 23 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, if a missile or drone launched by the Ukrainian armed forces is intercepted before striking Moscow or any target in it, even if it enters Moscow's airspace and its wreckage lands in Moscow, it will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence. If there is ambiguity over whether a strike occurred, or whether the drone/missile was intercepted, this market will resolve based on whatever is most likely according to a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.

Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Seychelles on September 27, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Seychellois government, specifically the Electoral Commission of Seychelles (ECS) (https://ecs.sc/).

Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection between Derzhavna Vulytsya and Slobozhanska Vulytsya located in Drobysheve by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

The intersection station will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/D1.png

Intersection Location in Drobysheve: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/D2.png

Drobysheve Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/D3.png

Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/v4o2xVfT89B3LHKM7

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Will Russia capture Drobysheve by October 31?

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2025 Internet Invitational golf tournament. 

If the listed player is eliminated from contention for the Internet Invitational based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by the Internet Invitational’s rules. If the tournament is officially declared a tie between multiple players, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose display name is listed first alphabetically in this market.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by Barstool Sports or affiliated Internet Invitational coverage. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Wesley Bryan win the 2025 Internet Invitational?

The 2025 FIDE World Cup is scheduled for October 30–November 27, 2025 in Goa, India.

This market will resolve to the listed player who wins the 2025 FIDE World Cup. If none of the listed players wins, it will resolve to “Other.”

If FIDE officially reschedules the World Cup to start after February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament.

Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Russia between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between U.S. and Russian military forces. Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and HMS Defender), or cyberattacks will not qualify. 

Intentional physical collisions, including aerial interceptions and naval ramming without the direct use of weaponry, such as the 2023 Black Sea incident—where a Russian Su-27 damaged a U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drone's propeller, leading to its crash— will not qualify regardless of damage. 

Military contractors will qualify only if confirmed to be operating under the direct command or coordination of the respective state’s armed forces (e.g. the Battle of Khasham would not qualify).

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


US x Russia military clash in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection between Vatutina Vulytsya and Puhachova Vulytsya located in Myrnohard by  December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

The intersection station will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/myrnohrad+intersection+zoom.png

Intersection Location in Myrnohard: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/myrnohrad+intersection.jpeg

Myrnohard Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/myrnohrad.jpeg

Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/qCLFQNiDKN2ABe5Q9

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Will Russia capture Myrnohard by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection between T-05-15 and Shakhtarskoi Slavy vulytsia located in Rodyns'ke by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

The intersection station will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rodynske+intersection+zoom.png

Intersection Location in Rodyns'ke: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rodynske+intersection.png

Rodyns'ke location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rodynske.jpeg

Location on Google maps:  https://maps.app.goo.gl/oFYUB5RUaKXaPvVT9

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Tsentralna volytsia x Peremohy volytsia in Dovha Balka, Donetsk Oblast province, by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka+intersection+zoom.png

Intersection Location in Dovha Balka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka+intersection.png

Dovha Balka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Dovha+Balka.png

Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Sp1hCRWLBnNtSwTk8

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.

Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin between August 18 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.

For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?

This is a polymarket to predict which player wins the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals.

If the listed player wins the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

If the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals are canceled or not completed by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If the Finals are officially declared a tie between multiple players, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Grand Chess Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on November 16, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the vote outright, a second round of elections will be scheduled.

This market will resolve to the candidate that wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Government, specifically the Chilean Electoral Service (Servicio Electoral de Chile, Serval) (https://www.servel.cl/).

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection between Myru vulytsia and Cherniavskoho vulytsia located in Shakhove by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

The intersection station will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shakhove+intersection.jpeg

Shakhove location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Shakhove.jpeg


Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/E6t5cWmM9xentxsf7

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.


Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.

Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Russia coup attempt in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for April 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Another Canada election called in 2025?

The 2025 Lisbon local election will be held on October 12, 2025. Each party or group puts forward a list of candidates, and the list with the most votes makes its top candidate the mayor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who is elected mayor.

If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Lisbon.

Will Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Finland between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Finland or Russia as of May 28, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022).

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.


Will Russia invade Finland in 2025?

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Big Brother UK Series 22.

If Big Brother UK Series 22 concludes without a winner from the individuals listed here being declared, or if Big Brother UK Series 22 has not otherwise concluded by February 28, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If there is a tie for winner of this season, this market will resolve to the winner whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Big Brother UK Series 22.

Will Jenny Baird win Big Brother UK Series 22?

This is a market to predict which national team will win UEFA Group K in the qualification stage for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed national team finishes first in UEFA Group K. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If UEFA Group K of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification is cancelled or not completed by May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will England win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of a NATO country and Russia between September 23 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between NATO and Russian military forces. Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and HMS Defender), or cyberattacks will not qualify.

Interception of missiles or other one-way attack or loitering munitions (e.g. Shahed drones) which are targeting a 3rd party other than the listed countries or their respective forces will not alone qualify. Shooting down UAVs which are not munitions (e.g. MQ-9, Orlan 10, Orion, Bayraktar TB2, etc.) will qualify.

Intentional physical collisions, including aerial interceptions and naval ramming without the direct use of weaponry, such as the 2023 Black Sea incident—where a Russian Su-27 damaged a U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drone's propeller, leading to its crash— will not qualify regardless of damage.

Military contractors will qualify only if confirmed to be operating under the direct command or coordination of the respective state’s armed forces (e.g. the Battle of Khasham would not qualify).

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2025 F1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As soon as the results for the final scheduled race of the 2025 F1 season are known this market will resolve.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), this market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1. 


Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia's president, Vladimir Putin, is removed from power for any length of time between December 28, 2024, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

President Vladimir Putin will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Russia within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the below-referenced intersection in Stepanivka, Donetsk Oblast province, by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stepanivka+intersection+zoom.png

Intersection Location in Stepanivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stepanivka+intersection.png

Stepanivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stepanivka.png

Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/Kt6rkRC4WNccDtSB7

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.

Will Russia capture Stepanivka by October 31?

This Polymarket will resolve to the player who wins the 2025 PGA TOUR Sanderson Farms Championship.

If this player is eliminated from contention for the Sanderson Farms Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the official winner as determined by PGA TOUR rules for the Sanderson Farms Championship (including any playoff).

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Garrick Higgo win the 2025 Sanderson Farms Championship?

The second round of the Bolivian presidential election is scheduled to take place on 19 October 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. 

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any NATO country by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by NATO member states or Russia as of May 28, 2025, will be considered the sovereign territory of those countries.

Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022).

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Pokrovsk train station (48.284816377539386, 37.180016843748454) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

The train station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2025, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

Once Russia captures the train station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Train station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/pokrovsk+train+station.jpeg

Pokrovsk Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Pokrovosk+Location.png

Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/7cfvanMFiovHG2mp8

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.


Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?

This market will resolve according to the first individual that ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify. 

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. 

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criteria has not been met for any of  the listed individuals by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”.  No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?

This is a market to predict which national team will win UEFA Group B in the qualification stage for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed national team finishes first in UEFA Group B. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If UEFA Group B of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification is cancelled or not completed by May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Intervision Winner 2025

Azerbaijan
$8,023 Vol.
No

Belarus
$13,639 Vol.
No

China
$18,322 Vol.
No

Colombia
$7,411 Vol.
No

Cuba
$8,503 Vol.
No

Egypt
$7,759 Vol.
No

India
$14,788 Vol.
No

Kazakhstan
$13,470 Vol.
No

Kyrgyzstan
$11,236 Vol.
No

Qatar
$8,553 Vol.
No

Russia
$46,342 Vol.
No

Saudi Arabia
$10,588 Vol.
No

Serbia
$9,245 Vol.
No

South Africa
$7,981 Vol.
No

Tajikistan
$7,773 Vol.
No

United Arab Emirates
$12,524 Vol.
No

United States
$18,044 Vol.
No

Uzbekistan
$8,121 Vol.
No

Venezuela
$10,208 Vol.
No

Vietnam
$23,265 Vol.
Yes

Madagascar
$6,335 Vol.
No

Kenya
$6,080 Vol.
No

Ethiopia
$7,312 Vol.
No

Brazil
$3,745 Vol.
No

Market Context

Intervision Winner 2025

Rules

Intervision Winner 2025

Market Context

Intervision Winner 2025

About

Related

Intervision Winner 2025

Azerbaijan$8,023 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Belarus$13,639 Vol.Nocircle xmark

China$18,322 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Colombia$7,411 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Cuba$8,503 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Egypt$7,759 Vol.Nocircle xmark

India$14,788 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Kazakhstan$13,470 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Kyrgyzstan$11,236 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Qatar$8,553 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Russia$46,342 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Saudi Arabia$10,588 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Serbia$9,245 Vol.Nocircle xmark

South Africa$7,981 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Tajikistan$7,773 Vol.Nocircle xmark

United Arab Emirates$12,524 Vol.Nocircle xmark

United States$18,044 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Uzbekistan$8,121 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Venezuela$10,208 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Vietnam$23,265 Vol.Yescircle check

Madagascar$6,335 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Kenya$6,080 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Ethiopia$7,312 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Brazil$3,745 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

Intervision Winner 2025

Rules

Intervision Winner 2025

Market Context

Intervision Winner 2025

About

Related

Azerbaijan
$8,023 Vol.
No

Belarus
$13,639 Vol.
No

China
$18,322 Vol.
No

Colombia
$7,411 Vol.
No

Cuba
$8,503 Vol.
No

Egypt
$7,759 Vol.
No

India
$14,788 Vol.
No

Kazakhstan
$13,470 Vol.
No

Kyrgyzstan
$11,236 Vol.
No

Qatar
$8,553 Vol.
No

Russia
$46,342 Vol.
No

Saudi Arabia
$10,588 Vol.
No

Serbia
$9,245 Vol.
No

South Africa
$7,981 Vol.
No

Tajikistan
$7,773 Vol.
No

United Arab Emirates
$12,524 Vol.
No

United States
$18,044 Vol.
No

Uzbekistan
$8,121 Vol.
No

Venezuela
$10,208 Vol.
No

Vietnam
$23,265 Vol.
Yes

Madagascar
$6,335 Vol.
No

Kenya
$6,080 Vol.
No

Ethiopia
$7,312 Vol.
No

Brazil
$3,745 Vol.
No