Name: Virginia Governor Election Winner 2025
Start: 2025-06-26T15:02:25.924881Z
End: 2025-11-04T00:00:00Z

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Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

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Improved notification preferences and types.

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Enable updates from the sports websocket.

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Improved in-game view for sports markets.

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Improved websocket for market trade data.

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This market will resolve to according to the if the candidate who wins the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Abigail Spanberger (D) 

Winsome Earle-Sears (R)

Virginia Governor Election Winner 2025

This market will resolve to according to the if the candidate who wins the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Abigail Spanberger in the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial general election, scheduled for November 4, 2025.

For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Spanberger’s certified statewide vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If Abigail Spanberger does not receive the most votes statewide in the certified results, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official certified statewide results as published by the Virginia Department of Elections (Virginia State Board of Elections).

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

Will Abigail Spanberger win by 9-12%?

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

The 2025 Virginia House of Delegates election is scheduled to be held on Tuesday, November 4, 2025, to elect the 100 members of the 164th Virginia General Assembly.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Democratic Party in the Virginia House of Delegates as a result of the 2025 Virginia House of Delegates election. 

If voting in the next Virginia House of Delegates election does not occur by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Democratic Party.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Virginia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Democrats win between 55 and 59 seats in the 2025 Virginia House of Delegates election?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. 

If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republcian party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

The 2025 Irish presidential election must take place by Tuesday, 11 November 2025.

This market will resolve to the individual who wins the next Irish presidential election.

If the result of this election isn't known by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the he Irish Government, specifically the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).

Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?

This is a market to predict which driver will win the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Championship.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed driver wins the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Championship, as determined by the official NASCAR standings at the conclusion of the season-ending championship race. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other". 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from NASCAR, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Kyle Larson win the NASCAR Cup Series Championship 2025?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.

If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Democrat James Walkinshaw wins the 2025 special election for Virginia's 11th congressional district to replace former Representative Gerry Connolly by a 45% margin over the Republican candidate, Stewart Whitson. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

The margin of victory is calculated as the difference betweenJames Walkinshaw and Stewart Whitson.

In the event of a runoff, this market's resolution will be based on the runoff's outcome. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Virginia; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Democratic Margin of victory in VA-11 special election at least 45%?

This is a market to predict which team will win the 2025 NCAA Football ACC Championship Game.

If the listed team wins the 2025 NCAA Football ACC Championship Game, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 NCAA Football ACC Championship Game is canceled or delayed past January 7, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from NCAA Football (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Florida State win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina.

If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

This market will resolve according to the result of the 2026 United States midterm elections.

A party will be considered to have 'control' of the House of Representatives, if they win a majority of voting seats.

A party will be considered to have 'control' of the Senate if they have more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice President.

A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

If control of the House is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the US House who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections. 

If control of the Senate is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Majority Leader of the US Senate who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called winners of the House and Senate in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

The 2025 Charlotte mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Charlotte.

Will Vi Lyles win the 2025 Charlotte mayoral election?

The 2025 New York City mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025, to elect the mayor of New York City.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however if there is any ambiguity in the results this market will resolve according to official information from New York City.

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate wins the 2025 special election for Texas's 18th Congressional District to replace former Representative Sylvester Turner. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

In the event of a runoff, this market's resolution will be based on the runoff's outcome. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former United States Vice President Kamala Harris announces that she is running for Governor of California in the 2026 midterm election, between June 23 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or her official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Will Kamala Harris announce California Governor run in 2025?

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election.

If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.

Will Bernie endorse Omar Fateh in Minneapolis Mayor for Nov 3 2026 ET?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom is no longer serving as Governor of California for any length of time between January 13 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Gavin Newsom's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.


Gavin Newsom out as California Governor in 2025?

This is a market to predict which team will win the 2025 NCAA Football SEC Championship Game.

If the listed team wins the 2025 NCAA Football SEC Championship Game, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 NCAA Football SEC Championship Game is canceled or delayed past January 7, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from NCAA Football (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Vanderbilt win the 2025 SEC Championship Game?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vice President JD Vance announces that he is running for President in the 2028 U.S. presidential election by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Vance must definitively state his intent to run (e.g., "I am running for President" or equivalent unambiguous language); vague comments, speculative or contingent remarks or jokes will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by JD Vance (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will JD Vance announce Presidential run in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.

Senate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.

If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.

Determination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

This market will resolve according to the rider who wins the 2025 MotoGP World Championship. 

If no 2025 MotoGP World Championship winner is announced by January 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". 

The primary resolution source will be the first official results published by MotoGP (https://www.motogp.com/en).

Will Marc Marquez win the 2025 MotoGP World Championship?

This is a market to predict which team will win the 2025 NCAA Football Big 12 Championship Game.

If the listed team wins the 2025 NCAA Football Big 12 Championship Game, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 NCAA Football Big 12 Championship Game is canceled or delayed past January 7, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from NCAA Football (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Cincinnati win the 2025 Big 12 Championship Game?

The 2025 Atlanta mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Atlanta.

Will Andre Dickens win the 2025 Atlanta mayoral election?

General elections are scheduled to take place in Côte d'Ivoire on October 25, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ivorian government, specifically the Independent Electoral Commission (Commission Électorale Indépendante, CEI) (https://www.cei.ci/).

Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?

The 2025 Detroit mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Detroit.

Will Mary Sheffield win the 2025 Detroit mayoral election?

This is a market to predict which team will win the 2025 NCAA Football Big Ten Championship Game.

If the listed team wins the 2025 NCAA Football Big Ten Championship Game, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 NCAA Football Big Ten Championship Game is canceled or delayed past January 7, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from NCAA Football (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Ohio State win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?

This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.

House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.

If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.

Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

The 2025 Miami mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Miami.

Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?

This is a polymarket to predict which state the team that wins the 2025-26 NFL Super Bowl will be from.

If a team who plays in the listed state wins the Super Bowl, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the Super Bowl is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl be from New York/New Jersey?

The 2025 Cleveland mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Cleveland.

Will Justin Bibb win the 2025 Cleveland mayoral election?

The 2025 Boston mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Boston.

Will Michelle Wu win the 2025 Boston mayoral election?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the VALORANT Champions 2025 (Also known as VCT Champions). 

If the tournament is postponed after December 31, 2025 (11:59 PM ET), canceled, or a winner has not been declared by that time, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple teams are officially declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2025/Champions.

Will Paper Rex win VALORANT Champions 2025?

This is a polymarket to predict which team will win the 2025 NCAA Football American Conference Championship Game.

If the listed team wins the 2025 NCAA Football American Conference Championship Game, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If the 2025 NCAA Football American Conference Championship Game is canceled or delayed past January 7, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from NCAA Football (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Tulane win the 2025 American Conference Championship Game?

The 2025 New York City mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic candidate wins the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however if there is any ambiguity in the results this market will resolve according to official information from New York City.




Will the Democratic candidate win the  NYC mayoral election?

The 2025 New York City mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025, to elect the mayor of New York City.

This market will resolve according to the vote share won by the listed candidate.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections.

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

This market will resolve according to the driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2025 F1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As soon as the results for the final scheduled race of the 2025 F1 season are known this market will resolve.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), this market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1. 


Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

The 2025 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Los Angeles.

Will Karen Bass win the 2025 Los Angeles mayoral election?

This market will resolve according to winner of the 2025 Ballon D’Or. 

If no 2025 Ballon D’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate wins the 2025 special election for Tennessee's 7th Congressional District to replace former Representative Mark Green. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

In the event of a runoff, this market's resolution will be based on the runoff's outcome. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Tennessee; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Jody Barrett win TN-7 Special Election?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.  

Supreme Court vacancy in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for April 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Another Canada election called in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate wins the 2025 special election for Arizona's 7th Congressional District to replace former Representative Raúl Grijalva. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

In the event of a runoff, this market's resolution will be based on the runoff's outcome. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Arizona; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Virginia Governor Election Winner 2025

Abigail Spanberger (D)
$32,008 Vol.
95%
0123456789
%

Winsome Earle-Sears (R)
$15,865 Vol.
6%
0123456789
%

Market Context

Virginia Governor Election Winner 2025

Rules

Virginia Governor Election Winner 2025

Market Context

Virginia Governor Election Winner 2025

About

Related

Virginia Governor Election Winner 2025

Abigail Spanberger (D) $32,008 Vol.95%0123456789%

Winsome Earle-Sears (R)$15,865 Vol.6%0123456789%

Market Context

Virginia Governor Election Winner 2025

Rules

Virginia Governor Election Winner 2025

Market Context

Virginia Governor Election Winner 2025

About

Related

Abigail Spanberger (D)
$32,008 Vol.
95%
0123456789
%

Winsome Earle-Sears (R)
$15,865 Vol.
6%
0123456789
%