Name: Eurovision 2026 Participants
Start: 2025-09-16T10:04:58.208422Z
End: 2026-05-11T00:00:00Z

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Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

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Improved notification preferences and types.

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Enable updates from the sports websocket.

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Improved in-game view for sports markets.

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Improved websocket for market trade data.

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The final list of participating countries for Eurovision 2026 is expected to be officially published by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) in mid-to-late December 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country is included in the earliest official list of participants for the Eurovision Song Contest 2026, as announced by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) or Eurovision by May 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will solely resolve based on the countries mentioned in the first official announcement; subsequent withdrawals or adjustments will not affect the resolution of this market.

If no qualifying list is published by May 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) and Eurovision (e.g., https://eurovision.tv); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Israel

Iceland

Ireland

Netherlands

Slovenia

Spain

Belgium

Germany

Italy

North Macedonia

Moldova

Eurovision 2026 Participants

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel is officially banned from participating in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement of a qualifying ban within the specified timeframe will suffice, regardless of when it takes effect or whether it is later revoked.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by November 30?

This is a market to predict which national team will win UEFA Group E in the qualification stage for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed national team finishes first in UEFA Group E. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If UEFA Group E of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification is cancelled or not completed by May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Spain win UEFA Group E for 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This is a market to predict which national team will win UEFA Group B in the qualification stage for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed national team finishes first in UEFA Group B. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If UEFA Group B of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification is cancelled or not completed by May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This is a market to predict which national team will win UEFA Group F in the qualification stage for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed national team finishes first in UEFA Group F. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If UEFA Group F of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification is cancelled or not completed by May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This is a market to predict which national team will win UEFA Group G in the qualification stage for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed national team finishes first in UEFA Group G. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If UEFA Group G of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification is cancelled or not completed by May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Netherlands win UEFA Group G for 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This is a market to predict which national team will win UEFA Group I in the qualification stage for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed national team finishes first in UEFA Group I. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If UEFA Group I of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification is cancelled or not completed by May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Norway win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This is a market to predict which national team will win UEFA Group D in the qualification stage for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed national team finishes first in UEFA Group D. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If UEFA Group D of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification is cancelled or not completed by May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will France win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This is a market to predict which national team will win UEFA Group A in the qualification stage for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed national team finishes first in UEFA Group A. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If UEFA Group A of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification is cancelled or not completed by May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Germany win UEFA Group A for 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This is a market to predict which national team will win UEFA Group J in the qualification stage for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed national team finishes first in UEFA Group J. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If UEFA Group J of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification is cancelled or not completed by May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Belgium win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This is a market to predict which national team will win UEFA Group H in the qualification stage for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed national team finishes first in UEFA Group H. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If UEFA Group H of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification is cancelled or not completed by May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Austria win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This is a market to predict which national team will win UEFA Group K in the qualification stage for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed national team finishes first in UEFA Group K. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If UEFA Group K of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification is cancelled or not completed by May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will England win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team advances to the Round of 16 of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from finishing in the top 24 of the league phase), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy.

Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine?

This is a polymarket on which golfers will be officially named to the 2025 Europe Ryder Cup team.

The market will resolve to "Yes" for each golfer who is officially named to the 2025 Europe Ryder Cup team, regardless of whether they qualify automatically or are selected as a captain’s pick. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Golfers who are named to the team but later withdraw or do not participate due to injury, suspension, personal reasons, or any other reason will still resolve to "Yes" if they were officially named prior to the start of the competition.

Any replacement player who is officially added to the playing roster due to a withdrawal will also resolve to "Yes", provided their addition is confirmed before September 24, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

Golfers who serve in non-playing roles (e.g. vice captains, advisors, or other support roles) and are not part of the active playing roster will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be the official announcement by Team Europe or Ryder Cup Europe. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Matt Wallace make the 2025 Europe Ryder Cup team?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


French election called by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ursula Von der Leyen ceases to be President of the European Commission for any length of time between May 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Von der Leyen departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the European Commission, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Von der Leyen out in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Israel between September 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.

Sanctions against Israeli citizens or entities which do not directly target the Israeli state or members of the Israeli government will not qualify.

The passage of an official act authorizing sanctions on Israel within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect.

Only the imposition of sanctions on Israel by the EU as an entity will qualify; if individual member states of the EU apply sanctions against Israel (e.g., France imposes novel trade restrictions on Israel unilaterally), it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between August 25 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.

Sanctions against Russian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Russian state or members of the Russian government will not qualify.

The passage of an official act authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect.

Only the imposition of sanctions on Russia by the EU as an entity will qualify; if individual member states of the EU apply sanctions against Russia (e.g., France imposes novel trade restrictions on Russia unilaterally), it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside of 2025, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Ukraine election held in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank's deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between August 20 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET has passed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

ECB rate cut in 2025?

A Swiss referendum over the Federal Act on Electronic Identification Services (e-ID Act) has been scheduled for September 28, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20250928/e-id-act.html

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".​

If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond January 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “No”. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Switzerland, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will the Swiss referendum over the e-ID Act pass?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if active military personnel officially affiliated with any NATO or EU country enter Ukraine for combat-related military purposes directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, they must be 1) officially acknowledged as active military by the NATO or EU entity or member state they are affiliated with; 2) be publicly acknowledged by NATO or an EU-affiliated entity to have entered Ukraine for a combat-related military purpose directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia.

For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution they need be active duty and acknowledged as described above. Participation in a combat role is necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes" (e.g. military personnel providing training or intelligence support would not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, however drone pilots or infantry directly attacking Russian troops, or soldiers targeting and downing missiles from Ukrainian soil would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes first in the league phase of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. 

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish first in the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA’s official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition.

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Barcelona finish first in UCL league phase?

This is a polymarket on whether Crystal Palace will be officially listed as a participant in the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League before the start of the league phase.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by Matchday 1 of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League - league phase on September 24, 2025, Crystal Palace is listed by UEFA as a participant in either the league phase or qualifying rounds of the competition. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Inclusion means Crystal Palace appears in official UEFA documentation or announcements (e.g. draw results, team lists, or fixture schedules) as a 2025-26 Europa League participant.

The primary resolution source will be UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Crystal Palace play in Europa League?

This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g. they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from its group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be FIFA.  (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).

Will Netherlands qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Ukraine election called in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Iran between August 13 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.

Sanctions against Iranian citizens or entities which do not directly target the Iranian state or members of the Iranian government will not qualify.

The passage of an official act authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if/when the sanctions come into effect.

Only the imposition of sanctions on Iran by the EU as an entity will qualify; if individual member states of the EU apply sanctions against Iran (e.g., France imposes novel trade restrictions on Iran unilaterally), it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

EU sanctions on Iran by September 30? 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Spain snap election called in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union imposes any new or increased tariffs on the United States between July 23, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.

Only tariffs specifically targeting the U.S. will qualify. For example, a global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the EU) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Tariffs enacted by EU member states will not count. Only Tariffs imposed by the EU will qualify.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for April 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Another Canada election called in 2025?

The 2025 Irish presidential election must take place by Tuesday, 11 November 2025.

This market will resolve to the individual who wins the next Irish presidential election.

If the result of this election isn't known by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the he Irish Government, specifically the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).

Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is scheduled to begin on Thursday, June 11, and conclude on Sunday, July 19. More information about the match schedule can be found here (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/canadamexicousa2026/articles/match-schedule-fixtures-results-teams-stadiums). According to ESPN, there have been complaints about the summertime heat across America, causing FIFA to consider relocating the 2026 World Cup out of the United States.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any game originally scheduled to be held in the U.S. to be relocated to a location outside of the U.S. by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked. 

The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- ANO wins the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election
- Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga wins the 2025 Bolivia presidential election
- LLA wins the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election
- Party for Freedom wins the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here: 
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Elections go right: October

If Austria has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Austria join NATO by December 31?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in the Czech Republic on October 3, 2025.

This market will resolve based on the total percentage of all votes cast out of the number of people entitled to vote in the 2025 Czech parliamentary election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If voting in the next Czech parliamentary election does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of the Czech Republic (e.g. via https://www.volby.cz/index_en.htm).

Will turnout be between 63% and 66% in the Czech election?

This market will resolve according to winner of the 2025 Ballon D’Or. 

If no 2025 Ballon D’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Romanian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between July 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Romanian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Romania Parliamentary Election called in 2025?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Bundesliga standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Bundesliga tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Soccer Player.

If the listed player wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Soccer Player, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Christian Pulisic win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Soccer Player?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party is a part of the first Moldovan government formed after the 2025 general election scheduled to take place September 28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve once the incoming government passes a confidence vote and is formally appointed in by the president.

If no government is formed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcements from the governing coalition; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in the Czech Republic by October 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Chamber of Deputies of the Czech Republic. 

If voting in the next Czech election for the Chamber of Deputies does not occur by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Czech Republic’s government (e.g. via https://www.volby.cz/index_en.htm).

Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in the Czech Republic on October 3, 2025.

This market will resolve to according to the popular vote share won by the listed Party/Coalition.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If voting in the next Czech parliamentary election does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count as reported by Czech Republic’s government (e.g. via https://www.volby.cz/index_en.htm).

Will ANO get between 30% and 33% of the vote in the Czech election?

The 2025 Lisbon local election will be held on October 12, 2025. Each party or group puts forward a list of candidates, and the list with the most votes makes its top candidate the mayor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who is elected mayor.

If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Lisbon.

Will Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?

If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.

NATO article 5 in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date for the next Polish parliamentary election is set between June 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Polish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Poland however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polish snap election called in 2025?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in the Czech Republic by October 2025.

This market will resolve to according to the popular vote share won by the listed Party/Coalition.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If voting in the next Czech parliamentary election does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count as reported by Czech Republic’s government (e.g. via https://www.volby.cz/index_en.htm).

Eurovision 2026 Participants

Israel
$2,866 Vol.
48%

Iceland
$10 Vol.
50%
0123456789
%

Ireland
$0 Vol.
53%

Netherlands
$303 Vol.
64%

Slovenia
$0 Vol.
47%

Spain
$189 Vol.
60%
0123456789
%

Belgium
$2 Vol.
61%

Germany
$100 Vol.
86%

Italy
$120 Vol.
85%

North Macedonia
$0 Vol.
35%

Moldova
$14,653 Vol.
60%

Market Context

Eurovision 2026 Participants

Rules

Eurovision 2026 Participants

Market Context

Eurovision 2026 Participants

About

Related

Eurovision 2026 Participants

Israel$2,866 Vol.48%

Iceland$10 Vol.50%0123456789%

Ireland$0 Vol.53%

Netherlands$303 Vol.64%

Slovenia$0 Vol.47%

Spain$189 Vol.60%0123456789%

Belgium$2 Vol.61%

Germany$100 Vol.86%

Italy$120 Vol.85%

North Macedonia$0 Vol.35%

Moldova$14,653 Vol.60%

Market Context

Eurovision 2026 Participants

Rules

Eurovision 2026 Participants

Market Context

Eurovision 2026 Participants

About

Related

Israel
$2,866 Vol.
48%

Iceland
$10 Vol.
50%
0123456789
%

Ireland
$0 Vol.
53%

Netherlands
$303 Vol.
64%

Slovenia
$0 Vol.
47%

Spain
$189 Vol.
60%
0123456789
%

Belgium
$2 Vol.
61%

Germany
$100 Vol.
86%

Italy
$120 Vol.
85%

North Macedonia
$0 Vol.
35%

Moldova
$14,653 Vol.
60%