Trader consensus strongly backs Woo Sang-ho at 87.5% implied probability to win the Gangwon Province governor by-election, propelled by recent polls showing him leading by 20-30 points amid Democratic Party momentum from national legislative gains. Key factors include Woo's appeal to progressive voters in urban centers like Chuncheon and strong party machinery, contrasting Kim Jin-tae's 10.5% share hampered by his recent National Assembly shift that triggered the contest and internal People Power Party rifts. Lee Kwang-jae lingers at 1.1%, limited by past tenure controversies and minimal independent support. Recent catalysts feature Woo's campaign rallies drawing crowds and no major scandals, with the November vote vulnerable to conservative turnout surges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedGangwon Province Governor Election Winner
Gangwon Province Governor Election Winner
Woo Sang-ho 88%
Kim Jin-tae 12%
Lee Kwang-jae <1%
Lee Chul-gyu <1%
$57,525 Vol.
$57,525 Vol.
Kim Jin-tae
12%
Kim Wan-seop
<1%
Lee Chul-gyu
<1%
Kweon Seong-dong
<1%
Woo Sang-ho
88%
Kim Do-kyun
<1%
Lee Kwang-jae
1%
Song Gi-heon
<1%
Won Chang-muk
<1%
Woo Sang-ho 88%
Kim Jin-tae 12%
Lee Kwang-jae <1%
Lee Chul-gyu <1%
$57,525 Vol.
$57,525 Vol.
Kim Jin-tae
12%
Kim Wan-seop
<1%
Lee Chul-gyu
<1%
Kweon Seong-dong
<1%
Woo Sang-ho
88%
Kim Do-kyun
<1%
Lee Kwang-jae
1%
Song Gi-heon
<1%
Won Chang-muk
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly backs Woo Sang-ho at 87.5% implied probability to win the Gangwon Province governor by-election, propelled by recent polls showing him leading by 20-30 points amid Democratic Party momentum from national legislative gains. Key factors include Woo's appeal to progressive voters in urban centers like Chuncheon and strong party machinery, contrasting Kim Jin-tae's 10.5% share hampered by his recent National Assembly shift that triggered the contest and internal People Power Party rifts. Lee Kwang-jae lingers at 1.1%, limited by past tenure controversies and minimal independent support. Recent catalysts feature Woo's campaign rallies drawing crowds and no major scandals, with the November vote vulnerable to conservative turnout surges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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