Keith Mitchell's lead after Round 1 at 7-under sets the tone for Valspar Championship Top 5 trader consensus, with his ball-striking edge on the tight Copperhead layout boosting implied probabilities amid shifting odds. Peter Malnati and Matti Schmid lurk close at 5-under, while pre-tournament favorites like Xander Schauffele (T12 at 2-under) and Justin Thomas (T22 even par) face uphill battles needing strong weekend iron play and putting to crack the top five. No major withdrawals reported, but gusty winds forecast for Rounds 3-4 could favor accurate drivers like Tony Finau (T4). Course history favors repeat performers, underscoring the crowdsourced pricing on momentum over pedigree.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$17,263 Vol.
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
100%
Chandler Phillips
100%
Chandler Blanchet
99%
Jacob Bridgeman
99%
Corey Conners
99%
Pierceson Coody
99%
Ze-Cheng Dou
99%
A.J. Ewart
99%
Tony Finau
99%
Patrick Fishburn
99%
Matt Fitzpatrick
99%
Takumi Kanaya
99%
David Lipsky
99%
Patrick Cantlay
99%
Ricky Castillo
99%
Bud Cauley
99%
Doug Ghim
99%
Emiliano Grillo
99%
Kensei Hirata
99%
Ryo Hisatsune
99%
Rico Hoey
99%
Rasmus Hojgaard
99%
Sung-Jae Im
99%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
99%
Tom Kim
99%
Brooks Koepka
99%
Henry Lebioda
99%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
99%
Marco Penge
99%
Chad Ramey
99%
Patrick Rodgers
99%
Kevin Roy
99%
Isaiah Salinda
99%
Xander Schauffele
99%
Davis Chatfield
98%
David Ford
98%
Blades Brown
97%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
94%
Lee Hodges
90%
Nicolai Hojgaard
50%
Billy Horschel
50%
Michael Kim
50%
Andrew Novak
50%
John Parry
50%
Matthieu Pavon
50%
Keith Mitchell
5%
Max Greyserman
3%
Mackenzie Hughes
2%
Keegan Bradley
2%
Matthias Schmid
1%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
$17,263 Vol.
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
100%
Chandler Phillips
100%
Chandler Blanchet
99%
Jacob Bridgeman
99%
Corey Conners
99%
Pierceson Coody
99%
Ze-Cheng Dou
99%
A.J. Ewart
99%
Tony Finau
99%
Patrick Fishburn
99%
Matt Fitzpatrick
99%
Takumi Kanaya
99%
David Lipsky
99%
Patrick Cantlay
99%
Ricky Castillo
99%
Bud Cauley
99%
Doug Ghim
99%
Emiliano Grillo
99%
Kensei Hirata
99%
Ryo Hisatsune
99%
Rico Hoey
99%
Rasmus Hojgaard
99%
Sung-Jae Im
99%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
99%
Tom Kim
99%
Brooks Koepka
99%
Henry Lebioda
99%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
99%
Marco Penge
99%
Chad Ramey
99%
Patrick Rodgers
99%
Kevin Roy
99%
Isaiah Salinda
99%
Xander Schauffele
99%
Davis Chatfield
98%
David Ford
98%
Blades Brown
97%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
94%
Lee Hodges
90%
Nicolai Hojgaard
50%
Billy Horschel
50%
Michael Kim
50%
Andrew Novak
50%
John Parry
50%
Matthieu Pavon
50%
Keith Mitchell
5%
Max Greyserman
3%
Mackenzie Hughes
2%
Keegan Bradley
2%
Matthias Schmid
1%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Keith Mitchell's lead after Round 1 at 7-under sets the tone for Valspar Championship Top 5 trader consensus, with his ball-striking edge on the tight Copperhead layout boosting implied probabilities amid shifting odds. Peter Malnati and Matti Schmid lurk close at 5-under, while pre-tournament favorites like Xander Schauffele (T12 at 2-under) and Justin Thomas (T22 even par) face uphill battles needing strong weekend iron play and putting to crack the top five. No major withdrawals reported, but gusty winds forecast for Rounds 3-4 could favor accurate drivers like Tony Finau (T4). Course history favors repeat performers, underscoring the crowdsourced pricing on momentum over pedigree.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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