Jannik Sinner's commanding 67.5% implied probability reflects his world No. 1 ranking, dominant hard-court form through early 2025—including Australian Open and Indian Wells titles—and status as 2023 Miami Masters champion, positioning him as the clear trader favorite for the 2026 edition. Daniil Medvedev's 12% share draws from his 2024 Miami victory and consistent deep runs on Florida hard courts, bolstered by recent semifinals in key events. Alexander Zverev at 5.3% benefits from top-five stability and strong Sunshine Double history, while American Sebastian Korda matches that price on rising momentum, home-crowd edge, and improved serve efficiency. Emerging talents like Jiri Lehecka gain traction from breakthrough 2025 results, though all face Sinner's peaking baseline power amid no major injuries reported.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated2026 Men’s Miami Open Winner
2026 Men’s Miami Open Winner
Jannik Sinner 69%
Daniil Medvedev 11.3%
Alexander Zverev 6.1%
Sebastian Korda 5.5%
$360,991 Vol.
$360,991 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
69%
Daniil Medvedev
11%
Alexander Zverev
6%
Sebastian Korda
5%
Jiri Lehecka
5%
Valentin Vacherot
4%
Terence Atmane
4%
Arthur Fils
3%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
2%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Tommy Paul
1%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Marin Cilic
1%
Alejandro Tabilo
1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Kamil Majchrzak
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Quentin Halys
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Corentin Moutet
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Raphael Collignon
<1%
Jannik Sinner 69%
Daniil Medvedev 11.3%
Alexander Zverev 6.1%
Sebastian Korda 5.5%
$360,991 Vol.
$360,991 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
69%
Daniil Medvedev
11%
Alexander Zverev
6%
Sebastian Korda
5%
Jiri Lehecka
5%
Valentin Vacherot
4%
Terence Atmane
4%
Arthur Fils
3%
Taylor Fritz
3%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
2%
Jakub Mensik
2%
Tommy Paul
1%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Marin Cilic
1%
Alejandro Tabilo
1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Kamil Majchrzak
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Quentin Halys
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Corentin Moutet
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Raphael Collignon
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Miami Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Miami Open (https://www.miamiopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 10:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jannik Sinner's commanding 67.5% implied probability reflects his world No. 1 ranking, dominant hard-court form through early 2025—including Australian Open and Indian Wells titles—and status as 2023 Miami Masters champion, positioning him as the clear trader favorite for the 2026 edition. Daniil Medvedev's 12% share draws from his 2024 Miami victory and consistent deep runs on Florida hard courts, bolstered by recent semifinals in key events. Alexander Zverev at 5.3% benefits from top-five stability and strong Sunshine Double history, while American Sebastian Korda matches that price on rising momentum, home-crowd edge, and improved serve efficiency. Emerging talents like Jiri Lehecka gain traction from breakthrough 2025 results, though all face Sinner's peaking baseline power amid no major injuries reported.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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